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Trading update for the quarter ended 31 December 2022 (“Q3 FY2023” or “the quarter”)

Published: 2023-02-14 09:45:34 ET
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Telkom SA SOC Limited
Registration number 1991/005476/30
JSE share code: TKG
JSE bond code: BITEL
ISIN: ZAE000044897
("Telkom" or the “Group”)

Trading update for the quarter ended 31 December 2022 (“Q3 FY2023” or “the quarter”)

Q3 FY2023 SALIENT FEATURES

    •   Group revenue up 2.3% to R11 031 million
    •   Group EBITDA down 13.5% to R2 492 million
    •   Telkom Mobile growth driven by value-compelling propositions
            o Mobile revenue up 7.0% to R5 685 million
                     ▪ Mobile service revenue up 4.5%
                     ▪ Handset and equipment revenue up 17.0%
            o Mobile data traffic and subscribers up 25.6% and 12.9% year-on-year (“y-o-y”) to 309
                petabytes and 18.6 million subscribers respectively
            o Mobile broadband customers up 9.9% to 11.5 million, comprising almost 62% of active
                mobile customers
    •   Openserve – new generation revenue growth sustained
            o Fixed data traffic up 15.0% to 492 petabytes
            o Leading FTTH connectivity rate of 45.9%, with number of homes passed up 27.6% and
                homes connected up 31.0%
    •   IT business growth at BCX supported revenue
            o IT business revenue up 8.8% to R1 587 million
            o Acquired cloud consulting services business to increase capacity and drive growth in
                line with increased cloud demand
    •   Swiftnet continued commercialising at healthy margins
            o Revenue increased marginally despite terminations
            o Additional 14 towers and 3 IBS sites constructed
            o Total EBITDA margin of 69.5% achieved

Telkom published its trading update for the quarter, demonstrating resilient performance by new
generation network (“NGN”) offerings despite challenging trading and economic conditions prevailing in
South Africa.

Group Chief Executive Officer – Serame Taukobong comment:
Our mobile and broadband strategies continued bearing fruit. We saw good growth in broadband as our
data-led and connect-led strategies continued to drive growth in mobile and fibre subscribers along with
data usage. Mobile broadband customers now comprise almost 62% of total active mobile subscribers,
while Openserve’s open-access network gained traction as external channels advanced to contribute
more than 30% of its total revenue.

Telkom navigated challenging trading conditions in the quarter and grew Group revenue by 2.3% driven
by continued growth in new generation technologies and increased data consumption. We focused on
offering attractive value propositions to customers in our Mobile business which advanced subscribers,
while the focus on the smart deployment of the fibre infrastructure saw Openserve record a sustained
increase in the broadband base. Demand for information technologies solutions and equipment by our

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enterprise customers continued at BCX as the IT hardware and software business improved the fulfilment
of backlogged and new orders.

Despite good top line growth and the ongoing optimisation of roaming costs, the migration of legacy
products to NGN offerings, our investment in post-paid to drive higher annuity revenue from this base,
and the impact of sustained nationwide load shedding put pressure on our costs, EBITDA and cash flows.
We are mindful of these impacts on the future of our businesses and we have thus embarked on cost
saving programs to be implemented with sustainable benefits materialising over the next 6 – 18 months
to mitigate cost pressures and improve the Group’s medium-term profitability.


OPERATIONAL REVIEW

Satisfactory top line NGN growth, muted by legacy revenue declines
Group revenue grew by 2.3% to R11 031 million largely driven by growth in active subscribers – mobile
and fibre, increased data traffic, higher handset and equipment sales to retail as well as increased IT
solutions/equipment to enterprise customers.

Group top line performance was resilient considering ongoing load shedding, pressure on consumers
due to ongoing interest rate hikes, high energy and fuel prices and other inflationary pressures on the
cost of living. This coupled with muted economic growth put affordability at the forefront of consumers’
minds. The performance of our value-driven and data-led strategy paid off as NGN revenues grew.
Performance was however impacted by legacy and voice revenue declines caused by ongoing migration
to lower margin NGN technologies.

The ongoing instability of electricity supply in South Africa saw accelerated load shedding continuing into
Q3 FY2023 which impacted profitability as it inflated the cost base and had an impact on service revenue.
Whilst our mobile sites are partially backed up through battery power, access network availability is
materially reduced during load shedding stages 4 and beyond. This impacted revenue and increased
roaming costs. However, our core and aggregation network had network availability of 99.99% during
load shedding as it has resilient backup power, which consequently increased spend on diesel fuel to
ensure network availability thereby also increasing our operating costs.

Group EBITDA declined by 13.5% as a result, contracting the EBITDA margin by 4.1 ppts to 22.6%,
largely affected by the decline of legacy revenues, higher direct costs due to our commitment to
sustainably evolve and position our mobile subscriber base for increased annuity revenue and higher
operating costs exacerbated by load shedding. Load shedding resulted in a y-o-y increase of more than
R150 million additional costs for the quarter.

Openserve NGN growth trajectory sustained
As Openserve positions itself as a newly established standalone subsidiary of Telkom, it continued its
growth trajectory in Q3 FY2023 across NGN products and services. Fixed data NGN revenue grew by
12.5% driven by broadband (up 23.9%), carrier services (up 9.4%) and enterprise services (up 1.4%),
contributing to Openserve’s leadership in providing open access connectivity across South Africa.

As demand for connectivity and consumption increased, Openserve saw fixed data traffic increase by
15.0% to 492 petabytes. Focused on smart deployment of its fibre infrastructure, Openserve saw a
sustained increase in its overall broadband base over the last four quarters which grew to over 567 000
billed connections. Continued demand for fibre services and growth across its data portfolio, resulted in
a sustained growth of 5.0% in revenue from Openserve’s external channels contributing to its Q3 FY2023

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total revenue of R3 220 million. As Openserve transforms its technology, revenue and channel mix, it
continued to experience pressure across its legacy-based products resulting in a 27.9% decline in fixed
voice revenue. This legacy decline included migrations to NGN technology across all three segments of
Enterprise, Consumer and Small to Medium Business which resulted in an overall revenue decline of
3.8% for the quarter.

Despite the increased challenge of load shedding, Openserve held true to its strategic objectives of
providing the best customer experience in every interaction, creating digitally led innovative solutions and
providing a cost-effective high-speed network, by maintaining its core and aggregation network
availability at 99.99% and connected its fibre broadband customers within an average of less than 3 days,
leading to an interaction NPS of above 65. Focused on providing fibre connectivity to South Africans,
Openserve grew its homes passed base by 27.6% y-o-y to more than 1 million. This focus on execution
coupled with a connect-led strategy, enabled Openserve to increase the number of homes connected
with fibre by 31.0% to 469 556 y-o-y, maintaining its leading connectivity rate of 45.9%.

While Openserve lays the foundation for future growth, the ongoing economic pressures and load
shedding, negatively impacted costs with a significant increase of R108 million y-o-y in diesel spend,
resulting in a lower EBITDA margin of 29.4% for the quarter and EBITDA of R948 million. Considering
these challenges, Openserve has actioned its energy plan by rolling out alternative energy options to
over 200 key sites across the country and will continue to de-risk itself by implementing multiple cost-
effective energy solutions as part of its overall Sustainable Energy Strategy.


Telkom Consumer value-compelling propositions advanced revenue
Telkom Consumer revenue increased by 1.7% in the quarter to R6 657 million despite trading in an
adverse economic climate and the accelerated migration of legacy to next generation technologies. Our
traditional copper-based voice revenues continue their downward trajectory and declined by 27.5% as
we de-risk ourselves from these legacy services and now only account for 5.3% of total operating revenue
for the business unit. We saw growth in fibre, which improved subscribers by 22.1% and revenue by
34.3%.

Mobile revenue increased by 7.0% to R5 685 million, spurred by the continued provision of its value-
compelling propositions which continue to drive data consumption.

In the quarter Mobile service revenue increased 4.5% to R4 598 million, strengthened by a 12.9% y-o-
y growth in active subscribers to 18.6 million at a blended ARPU of R87.
     • Post-paid ARPU was R204, having declined by 5.5% y-o-y, as we are now levelling towards our
        pre-COVID-19 levels, with subscribers for this base growing by 13.1%.
     • The pre-paid ARPU at R64 is holding within our target range and this base saw subscriber growth
         of 12.9%.

Feeding from our strategy of growing data, our mobile data traffic grew by 25.6% to 309 petabytes
supported by a 9.9% growth in Mobile broadband subscribers to 11.5 million, leading to mobile data
revenue growing by 5.8%.

We remain encouraged by the growth in our non-connectivity services. Non-connectivity revenue
increased by 16% to R909 million. Our airtime advance product remains a significant contributor to our
non-connectivity revenue growth as we advanced approximately R2 708 million in in airtime now
contributing 30% of total recharges.


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EBITDA declined by 28.1% to R840 million. Approximately 28.3% of the decline can be attributed to the
load shedding impact while the balance is as a result of growth in the network footprint and an increased
investment as per our previously stated intent to increase our post-paid annuity revenue contribution.

Capital expenditure increased by 30.4% y-o-y with a spend to date of R2 644 million, inclusive of R1 142
million in respect of the spectrum auction, which enabled improved capacity and coverage across our 7
463 base stations, representing a 5.4% y-o-y increase in base stations.

BCX maintains top line supported by hardware and software sales
Q3 FY2023 revenue is flat at R3 506 million mainly due to an increase in hardware and software sales,
that was, however slightly offset by a decline in the converged communication business.

The IT business grew 7.4% to R1 875 million, largely attributable to growth in the hardware and software
business of 30.2%. The IT hardware and software business leveraged off its partner eco-system and a
more reliable global supply chain to improve the fulfilment of back-logged orders and new orders.
Performance was, however, negatively impacted by a 2.5% decline in the total IT services revenue, due
to a prior year once-off project in the field services enablement and digital workspace management
spaces, not recurring in the quarter.

The Converged Communications business revenue declined by 7.4% to R1 631 million. The business
continued to see a decline in fixed voice revenue with ongoing migrations to more cost-effective next
generation solutions. The traditional voice revenues declined in line with our 5-year migration plan.
Furthermore, we experienced lower than expected uptake on the next generation technologies due to
customers still seeing value in the legacy services especially in the public sector. With the increase in
adoption of Hybrid Cloud services, traditional data customers are shifting away more rapidly from
premium multiprotocol label switch services and adopting new software-defined wide area network
technologies that are driving a shift to lower ARPU broadband services due to more favourable pricing
on internet.

Despite cost management initiatives, EBITDA declined by 19.1% to R441 million, due to limited revenue
growth, as well as the impact of product mix, where more IT hardware and software products at lower
margins were sold. The EBITDA margin shrunk by 2.9 ppts in the quarter resulting in a margin of 12.6%.

As BCX continues operating in a challenging landscape, the business seeks to implement measures for
growth, specifically within its IT businesses, whilst it pivots its Converged Communication businesses
towards a digital framework.

Swiftnet continued to commercialise its portfolio with healthy margins
Swiftnet remains focused on commercialising the masts and towers portfolio, that amounted to 3 960
towers at the end of the quarter and included 14 towers and 3 in-building solutions sites that were
constructed during Q3 FY2023.
Revenue amounted to R318 million, which was flat y-o-y. Revenue growth underpinned by escalations,
new tenancies and existing tenant installation upgrades, was offset by terminations from one of our
Mobile Network Operator (MNO) customers as well as Openserve’s continued optimisation of legacy-
based technologies. To further augment growth, we received new site applications from various tenants
as their 5G rollout plans are implemented.
EBITDA was R221 million, at a healthy 69.5% EBITDA margin. EBITDA margin declined by 9.0 ppts y-
o-y, driven by the implementation of the refined property operating cost allocation methodology in the last
quarter of the prior financial year.

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VALUE UNLOCK FOR SHAREHOLDERS
The value unlock strategy adopted to realise the intrinsic value of underlying business in the Telkom
Group remains underway. Following the Board’s in-principle approval to affirm and realise the value of
Swiftnet through a full or partial disposal of the mast and towers business, a multi-party sales process
commenced in late 2022 and offers are expected to be received during the course of March 2023. Telkom
will evaluate the offers received and a further update will be provided in due course.

Following the legal separation of Openserve to a stand-alone entity, effective 1 September 2022, various
initiatives are underway with the goal of realising value through the sale of a minority stake in the 100%
owned Telkom subsidiary. Telkom has been receiving a number of unsolicited approaches for this
business and is currently undertaking a market sounding exercise to test the breadth of interest for this
deemed to be core business of Telkom. With adequate interest, a formal process will be launched by the
end of the 2023 financial year (“FY2023”).

BCX will continue to pursue partnerships to drive scale and capabilities to grow, amongst others, its
cybersecurity segment. In the meantime, to complement the partnership with Alibaba, which gives BCX
exclusivity to sell cloud services in South Africa and the rest of the continent, BCX acquired DotCom – a
cloud consulting services company to further facilitate the growth of its cloud capabilities.


COST SAVINGS PROGRAMME TO UPLIFT MEDIUM-TERM PROFITABILITY LAUNCHED
The impact of ongoing load shedding for the quarter and the increased Mobile network footprint resulted
in a higher cost base for the Group. This coupled with the required investment in working capital to
optimise the Mobile subscriber base mix negatively impacted Telkom’s profitability for the current financial
year to date.

The working capital investment in Mobile handsets and post-paid cost of sales are immediate costs, with
corresponding revenues recognised over 24 to 36 months and thereby do not immediately offset the
upfront costs associated with growing our post-paid subscriber base. This in turn has also put pressure
on margins and cash generation in the short term.

In response to this, Telkom has embarked on cost saving initiatives targeting a reduction of costs over
the next 6-18 months to reduce and optimise the Group cost structure and return to a blended Group
EBITDA margin of more than 25%.

A number of initiatives are already in progress to address the Group cost base. These are aimed at
rebasing our cost structures. The benefits of these initiatives are expected to be visible in the medium
term from FY2024 onwards. Telkom will be required to invest in exiting and reducing certain direct and
operating costs in the coming 6-18 months. A substantial portion of these costs will be accrued for in
FY2023.

In addition, in order to mitigate the impact of frontloaded investment in working capital as well as ongoing
pressure on free cash flow (“FCF”), the Group plans to raise a further R1 billion by the end of FY2023
through the sale of qualifying device receivables to external financial institutions to mitigate the impact
on FCF.




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OUTLOOK

While the Group saw an uplift in Q3 FY2023 revenue, the annual trend of declining profitability is expected
to continue into the fourth quarter of FY2023 (“Q4 FY2023”). We expect an overall weaker Q4 FY2023
relative to Q3 FY2023 impacted by the ongoing upfront investment in working capital, continued
accelerated load shedding and inflationary cost pressures. The upfront costs relating to cost cutting
initiatives outlined in the previous section will further put pressure on Group profitability and FCF for Q4
FY2023 and in turn, for FY2023, with the related benefits only materialising in future years.

The information contained in this trading update has not been reviewed or reported on by Telkom’s
independent external auditors. All number and percentages contained in the update reflect Q3 FY2023
compared to the third quarter of the financial year ended 31 March 2022 unless stated otherwise.


Centurion
14 February 2023


Sponsor

Nedbank Corporate and Investment Banking, a division of Nedbank Limited




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Quarterly financial information

The financial information in the table below has not been reviewed or reported on by Telkom’s joint
independent external auditors

(R’m)                                Q3 FY2023 Q2 FY2023 Q1 FY2023 Q4 FY2022 Q3 FY2022
                                      December September      June     March December
                                           2022      2022      2022      2022      2021
Group revenue                            11 031    10 870    10 281    10 678    10 786
Group EBITDA                              2 492     2 608     2 334     3 049     2 881
Group EBITDA margin                        22.6      24.0      22.7      28.6      26.7
Group capex                               1 657     2 684     1 005     2 329     1 545

Revenue breakdown
Fixed                                      3 513          3 453          3 494          3 891          3 743
Voice and subscription                       978          1 054          1 092          1 168          1 193
Usage                                        279            441            453            493            469
Subscriptions                                699            613            639            675            724
Interconnection                               66             74             72             72             81
Fixed-line domestic                           38             48             46             45             45
Fixed-line international                      28             26             26             27             36
Data                                       2 036          1 996          1 994          2 135          2 034
Data connectivity                          1 520          1 481          1 489          1 612          1 503
Internet access and related                                                357            369            367
                                             377            367
services
Managed data network services                138            148            146           152               166
Multimedia services                            1              0              2             2                -2
Customer premises equipment                                                269           423               356
                                             362            259
sales and rentals
Sales                                        185             96            100            196            186
Rentals                                      177            163            169            227            170
Other revenue                                 71             70             67             93             79
Mobile                                     5 685          5 425          5 180          5 111          5 314
Mobile voice and subscriptions             1 143          1 134          1 079          1 074          1 150
Mobile interconnection                       146            135            118            123            122
Mobile data                                3 309          3 233          3 084          3 062          3 127
Mobile handset and equipment               1 007            844            827            773            861
Significant financing component               80             79             72             79             54
Information technology                     1 587          1 743          1 376          1 466          1 458
Information technology service                                             728            759            730
                                             696            645
solutions
Application solutions                        254            246            231           232             231
IT hardware and software                     588            828            373           453             457
Industrial technologies                       40             14             39            15              33
Significant financing component                9             10              5             7               7
Other                                        246            249            231           207             271
Yep                                           72             58             53            60             106
Gyro                                         174            191            178           147             165
Total                                     11 031         10 870         10 281        10 678          10 786

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Quarterly information (Business unit stand-alone view)

(R’m)                                    Q3 FY2023    Q2 FY2023     Q1 FY2023     Q4 FY2022    Q3 FY2022
                                                                                   Restated     Restated
                                          December    September         June          March    December
Revenue                                        2022         2022         2022           2022         2021
Telkom Consumer                               6 657        6 469        6 248          6 249        6 544
BCX                                           3 506        3 595        3 401          3 836        3 506
Openserve                                     3 220        3 217        3 217          3 361        3 347
Swiftnet                                        318          338          322            301          317

EBITDA
Consumer                                        840         893           840          1 001        1 169
BCX                                             441         397           445            470          545
Openserve                                       948         923           961          1 042        1 095
Swiftnet                                        221         229           230            127          250

EBITDA margin (%)
Consumer                                       12.6         13.8         13.4           16.0         17.9
BCX                                            12.6         11.0         13.1           12.2         15.6
Openserve                                      29.4         28.7         29.9           31.0         32.7
Swiftnet                                       69.5         67.8         71.4           42.3         78.5
Swiftnet - normalised*                                                                  70.3         69.9

Mobile service revenue (external)              4 598        4 502          4 281       4 259       4 399
Mobile EBITDA margin                            20.5         22.0           23.0        24.9         26.5
* The full impact of the direct cost allocation methodology was included in Q4 FY2022 and Q3 FY2022.

Quarterly operational information

                                        Q3 FY2023    Q2 FY2023    Q1 FY2023    Q4 FY2022    Q3 FY2022
                                          December    September          June        March    December
                                                2022         2022         2022         2022         2021
Broadband subscribers                    12 054 013   11 596 889   11 359 289   11 234 715   11 021 999
Fixed broadband subscribers                  567 294      562 080      563 053      584 189      567 853
Mobile broadband subscribers             11 486 719   11 034 809   10 746 418   10 650 526   10 454 146
Active mobile subscribers                18 554 558   18 023 524   17 317 015   16 936 464   16 430 307
Pre-paid subscribers                     15 624 214   15 161 977   14 534 596   14 269 139   13 839 870
Post-paid subscribers                      2 930 344    2 861 547    2 782 419    2 667 325    2 590 437
Mobile blended ARPU (rand)                     87.24        87.87        88.53        89.94        91.45
Pre-paid ARPU                                  64.16        64.47        64.77        65.67        66.68
Post-paid ARPU                                203.73       205.92       208.50       212.47       215.49
Traffic
Fixed broadband (petabytes)                     492          467            452             428           428
Mobile broadband (petabytes)                    309          287            263             245           246
Total fixed-line traffic (millions of                                     1 365           1 508         1 512
                                              1 202         1 358
minutes)



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Network
Homes passed with fibre       1 022 011   960 801   890 182   839 691       801 084
Homes connected with fibre      469 556   443 469   414 847   389 109       358 528
Fibre connectivity rate (%)        45.9      46.2      46.6      46.3          44.8
Mobile sites integrated           7 463     7 384     7 350     7 313         7 082




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Forward looking statements

Certain financial information presented in this trading update announcement may constitute forward
looking statements.

All statements, other than statements of historical facts, including, among others, statements regarding
our strategy; future financial position and plans; objectives; capital expenditures (capex); projected costs
and anticipated cost savings and financing plans; as well as projected levels of growth in the
communications market, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be
identified by terminology such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “envisage”, “intend”, “plan”, “project”,
“estimate”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “hope”, “can”, “is designed to” or similar phrases. However, the absence
of such words does not necessarily mean a statement is not forward looking.

Forward-looking statements involve several known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that
could cause our actual results and outcomes to be materially different from historical results or from any
future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause our
actual results or outcomes to differ materially from our expectations include, but are not limited to, those
risks identified in Telkom’s most recent integrated report which is available at www.telkom.co.za/ir.

Telkom cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. All written and
verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Telkom, or persons acting on Telkom’s behalf, are
qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Moreover, unless we are required by law to
update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this
document, so that they conform either to the actual results or to changes in our expectations.




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