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Reviewed condensed consolidated financial results: 6 months ended 30.6.2023 and modification of B-BEE transaction

Published: 2023-07-27 08:05:43 ET
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                                                                              Salient features
                                                                                Weaker trading environment                   Raw material basket (RMB)
                                                                                                                                                                                    down 86%
                                                                                                                                                                               EBITDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Renewables and regional
                                                                                with substantially lower
                                                                                international market prices
                                                                                                                             up 2% (rand terms)                                at R499 million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          infrastructure projects expected to
                                                                                                                             (international RMB down                                                                      support steel demand
                                                                                and stagnant economic                                                                          (2022 H1: R3 591 million)
                                                                                growth                                       13% in rand terms)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Medium and longer-term
                                                                                Sales volumes                                                                                  Headline loss of                           investment case remains
                                                                                up 3%      to                                Value Plan added
                                                                                                                                                                               R448 million                               intact
                                                                                1.2 million                                  R1 007 million                                    (2022 H1: R3 025 million
                                                                                (crude steel production up                   (2022 H1: R577 million)                           profit)                                    Modified 2016 B-BBEE
                                                                                29% to 1.4 million)                                                                                                                       transaction to improve
                                                                                Realised rand steel prices                         up 3% to
                                                                                                                             Fixed costs                                       Net borrowings of                          the prospect of
                                                                                down 8%                                      R3 549 million                                    R2 990 million                             meaningful future
                                                                                (down 22% in dollar terms)                   (2022 H1: R3 448 million)                         (2022 H2: R2 808 million)                  value creation



    Short-form announcement
    Reviewed condensed consolidated financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2023
    and proposed modification of 2016 existing B-BBEE transaction

Overview and sustainability                                                                     Financial results                                                                              Key statistics
In February 2023, at the announcement of the company’s 2022 financial results, it was           ArcelorMittal South Africa reported EBITDA of R499 million against R3 591 million in
indicated that, barring the impacts of loadshedding and rail service unreliability, the         H1 2022, while its operating profit decreased from R3 235 million to R94 million. The                              Six months ended                                           Year-ended
six-month outlook for the trading environment appeared to be improving compared to              headline loss of R448 million (H1 2022: R3 025 million profit), amounted to a 40 cents            30 June          30 June                                                    31 December
the difficult close to 2022. Unsustainable price-cost pressures and positive movements          per share loss (H1 2022: 271 cents profit). EBITDA decreased by 27% compared to                      2023             2022 % Change                                                  2022
in early 2023’s international steel prices offered reasons for some optimism.                   R683 million in the immediately preceding six months.
Despite the buoyance of 2021 and the first half of 2022 having passed (remembering              Revenue decreased by 5% to R21 045 million (H1 2022: R22 176 million) due to an 8%                                                           Financials (R millions)
that the latter is the comparable period for this interim 2023 report), the international       fall in net realised steel sales prices, despite a 3% increase in total steel sales volumes.
trading environment in the first half of 2023 benefitted from the end to de-stocking and                                                                                                           21 045            22 176          (5.1)   Revenue                                 40 771
                                                                                                Revenue increased by 13% (H2 2022: R18 596 million) compared to the immediately
less painful energy prices. However, locally, the trading environment caught no such            preceding six months.                                                                                  499            3 591         (86.1)   EBITDA                                   4 274
tail-winds, as the burden of electricity loadshedding, high inflation, high interest rates
                                                                                                The company’s raw material basket (iron ore, coking coal and scrap), representing 48%                   94            3 235         (97.1)   Profit from operations                   3 499
and mixed growth (only automotive reflected noteworthy growth of 8,3%) in key steel
                                                                                                (H1 2022: 43%) of cash cost per tonne, was 2% up in rand terms, compared to a 13%                    (359)           3 072         (111.7)   Net (loss)/profit                        2 634
consuming sectors such as manufacturing (+1.0%), machinery and equipment (+1.0%),
                                                                                                decrease in the international basket. The local basket was flat in rand terms compared
mining (-1.1%) and construction (0%), pummelled already fragile consumer confidence.                                                                                                                 (448)           3 025        (114.8)    Headline (loss)/earnings                 2 607
                                                                                                to the immediately preceding six months.
Falling international commodity demand affected most sectors. Understandably, steel
demand remained muted, which put significant pressure on local prices.                          Consumables and auxiliaries represent 31% of cash cost per tonne (based on crude                   (2 990)          (1 087)         175.1    Net borrowing                          (2 808)
                                                                                                steel production) (H1 2022: 31%). Electricity tariffs increased by 14%, while dollar-               11 341           12 143          (6.6)   Net asset value                          11 675
The company committed to adopt a flexible approach to operating plants in reaction
                                                                                                denominated commodity-indexed consumables decreased by 12%.
to the available order book, adjusting fixed cost levels accordingly, and following an                                                                                                                                                       Financial ratios (%)
assertive cash management process.                                                              Fixed costs increased from R3 448 million in H1 2022 to R3 549 million for the period
                                                                                                under review, an increase of 3%. Fixed costs increased by 11% (H2 2022: R3 196 million) in             2.4              16.2                 EBITDA margin                                10.5
By and large these actions were implemented; mostly by design, but in some instances
                                                                                                the immediately preceding six months.                                                                                                        Return on ordinary
due to unplanned internal and external interruptions.
However, the softness of the market amid the unprecedented severity of the electricity          Net financing charges were higher at R536 million (H1 2022: R250 million) mainly due to               (7.8)             57.1                 shareholders’ equity                       25.2
loadshedding in the last six months, was very much underestimated, which in turn                higher net interest charges on bank overdrafts and loans of R163 million and lower net
                                                                                                foreign exchange gains of R113 million.                                                             (26.4)             (9.0)                 Net borrowing to equity                   (24.1)
affected the response time with which production could be adjusted in a responsible
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Share statistics (cents)
and well-considered manner. Building and maintaining any semblance of operating
rhythm, which is an absolute necessity in running a continuous, integrated steel making
                                                                                                Cash flow and borrowing position
                                                                                                Cash generated from operations of R891 million was R211 million lower against the                      (32)             276        (111.6)   (Loss)/profit per share                      236
process in a cost-aware manner, proved especially problematic.
                                                                                                comparable period (H1 2022: R1 102 million cash generated) mainly due to lower profit                                                        Headline (loss)/earnings
The challenging trading environment not only made the anticipated unwind of the                 from operations after adjusting for non–cash flow items, of R2 855 million, and lower
higher net working capital position, which had built up in last quarter of 2022, very
                                                                                                                                                                                                      (40)              271       (114.8)    per share                                    234
                                                                                                operating working capital requirements of R2 644 million.
difficult. This resulted in additional cash being utilised in operations for the period under                                                                                                            –                –                  Dividends per share                            –
                                                                                                Net finance charge outflows of R234 million (H1 2022: R232 million) was in line with
review.
                                                                                                comparative period.                                                                                                                          Net asset value per
Consequently, the net borrowings position of R2 990 million was R1 903 million and                                                                                                                   10.16            10.89          (6.7)   share                                     10.47
R182 million higher compared to June 2022 and December 2022 respectively. Actions               The net capital expenditure cash outflow was R818 million against R693 million in
are underway to improve the company’s net borrowing position in the wake of the                 H2 2022, an increase of R125 million.                                                                                                        Safety
weaker-for-longer steel trading environment in the region.                                      The net borrowing position of R2 990 million at 30 June 2023 increased by R182 million                                                       Lost-time injury
Sales volumes were 3% up, with crude steel production 29% higher against the                    from R2 808 million at 31 December 2022 mainly due to cash generated from
                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.72             0.71                  frequency rate                             0.87
comparable period. Against the immediately preceding six months, sales volumes                  operations of R891 million offset by capital expenditure of R818 million, finance cost of
improved by 19%, while crude steel production was on par.                                       R234 million and tax of R43 million. At 30 June 2022, the net borrowings position was                                                        Operational statistics
                                                                                                R1 087 million.                                                                                                                              (‘000 tonnes)
ArcelorMittal South Africa’s realised average steel prices decreased by 8% in Rand
terms. Its raw material basket increased by 2% with, in absolute terms, imported coking         Legal and regulatory matters                                                                         1 356            1 051        (29.0)    Crude steel production                   2 408
coal having increased by 1%, while iron ore increased by 4% and scrap decreased by              Proposed modification of 2016 Existing B-BBEE Transaction                                             1 193            1 159          2.9    Steel sales                              2 160
5%. After accounting for conversion cost, the variable cash cost of steel decreased
by 5% (based on crude steel production).                                                        In 2016 ArcelorMittal South Africa implemented a Broad-Based Black Economic                            963            1 022         (5.8)    – Local                                   1 872
                                                                                                Empowerment (“B-BBEE”) ownership transaction (“Existing B-BBEE Transaction”)
Fixed costs increased by R101 million (3%) to R3 549 million. The outcome of the 2023
                                                                                                introducing black ownership through:
                                                                                                                                                                                                       230              137          67.9    – Export                                     288
wage negotiations, which yielded a three-year agreement, was beneficial for both
                                                                                                • a commercial strategic component, by issuing a new class of notionally funded                         20              120        (83.3)    Commercial coke                              176
the company and its employees. The agreement provides the certainty and stability
required to allow for a focus on performance, productivity and value add.                           shares (“A1 Ordinary Shares”) to Amandla We Nsimbi (RF) Proprietary Limited                                                              Segmental
                                                                                                    (“Amandla”), a special purpose vehicle, the ordinary shares of which are held by                                                         performance (R millions)
Markets                                                                                             Likamva Resources Proprietary Limited (“Likamva”);
Global crude steel production (source: World Steel Association) decreased by                                                                                                                                                                 Steel operations
                                                                                                • a community component (the “Existing Communities Trust”) which acquired the
1% or 11 million tonnes in the first half of 2023 to 946 million tonnes. This reflected             A1 Ordinary Shares in Amandla; and                                                             20 619           20 864           (1.2)   – Revenue                               38 765
disappointing demand with insufficient end‑user consumption levels, thin margins and
                                                                                                • an employee component through the issue of a new class of notionally funded                         460            3 460         (86.7)    – EBITDA                                 3 748
low profitability levels, along with notable pressure to reduce costs, as upstream steel
                                                                                                    shares (“A2 Ordinary Shares”) to the Isabelo Employee Share Trust (the “Existing
making raw material prices remained at relatively elevated levels. Global crude steel                                                                                                                                                        Non-steel operations
                                                                                                    Employee Trust”) for the benefit of employees, which constitutes approximately
production increased by 8% in H1 2023, compared to the immediately preceding six
                                                                                                    21.75% of the total issued share capital held by and for the benefit of black people.             460             1 324        (65.3)    – Revenue                                2 049
months.
Africa’s output increased by 4% to 8 million tonnes due to higher production in South           The Existing B-BBEE Transaction has not yielded the envisaged value for                                 75             443          (83.1)   – EBITDA                                     614
Africa, Tunisia and Libya. South Africa’s crude steel production increased by 14% to            empowerment partners, employees and the company. This is largely as a result of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Corporate
2.4 million tonnes.                                                                             a lack in adequate growth in the share price in relation to the funding terms of the
                                                                                                Existing B-BBEE Transaction.                                                                           (36)            (312)        88.5     – EBITDA                                     (88)
Turning to South Africa and the regional economy, the GDP growth rate forecast for
South Africa is 0.4% for 2023, with those for near and sub-Saharan African markets              Current projections reflect that the materialisation of any meaningful future value
                                                                                                based on the current terms and structure of the 2016 B-BBEE Transaction is unlikely.
forecasted to be between 3.4% and 3.6%.
                                                                                                Accordingly, the company is embarking on a process to modify the Existing B-BBEE
                                                                                                                                                                                               Short-form announcement
In South Africa, apparent steel consumption (ASC) for the first half of 2023 increased                                                                                                         This short-form announcement is the responsibility of the board of directors of ArcelorMittal
by 2% to 2.1 million tonnes, while ASC increased by 4% compared to 2.0 million in the           Transaction in order to improve the prospects of sustainable value creation and                South Africa and is a summarised version of the group’s full announcement and as such, it
immediately preceding six months.                                                               realisation, and B-BBEE ownership for the strategic empowerment partners, employees            does not contain full or complete details pertaining to the group’s results. This short‑form
Steel imports of primarily HRC, galvanised sheet and plates decreased to                        and communities (“Modified B-BBEE Transaction”), in line with its commitment to                announcement is itself not reviewed but extracted from the reviewed condensed
596 000 tonnes (June: AMSA estimate) after a surge in the immediately preceding six             promote transformation and economic empowerment.                                               consolidated financial statements which was reviewed by Ernst & Young who issued an
months of 720 000 tonnes. This volume constituted some 29% of South Africa’s ASC                                                                                                               unmodified review conclusion on the reviewed consolidated interim financial statements.
(H2 2022: 36%).
                                                                                                Outlook for the second half of 2023                                                            Their review conclusion report can be obtained from the company’s registered office
                                                                                                Safety remains ArcelorMittal South Africa’s highest priority.                                  and on the group’s website at https://southafrica.arcelormittal.com/InvestorRelations/
The company’s total sales volumes increased by 3%, or 34 000 tonnes, to 1.2 million
                                                                                                Internationally, the World Steel Association expects a 2.2% increase in steel demand.          InterimResults.aspx.
tonnes compared to the comparable volumes in 2022. This was composed of a 6%
fall in domestic sales to 1.0 million tonnes while exports increased by 68% to 230 000          Chinese GDP growth will continue to play a role in international steel demand and              Any investment decisions by investors and or shareholders should be made after taking
tonnes. Africa overland sales rose by 47% to 119 000 tonnes. Total sales volumes                pricing trends.                                                                                into consideration the full announcement. The full results announcement is available
increased by 19% compared to the immediately preceding six months, with domestic                According to the South African Reserve Bank, 2023 GDP is expected at 0.4%.                     for viewing at https://senspdf.jse.co.za/documents/2023/JSE/ISSE/ACL/AMSAInt23.pdf
sales increasing by 13%, and Africa overland sales increasing by 133%. Africa overland                                                                                                         and on the group’s website at https://southafrica.arcelormittal.com/InvestorRelations/
                                                                                                Steel demand is expected to improve as economic indicators strengthen. Inflation
sales as percentage of total exports, improved to 52% (H2 2022: 34%).                                                                                                                          InterimResults.aspx.
                                                                                                is moving back towards the target range of between 3-6% which should lessen the
                                                                                                pressure on interest rates and assist with lifting consumer confidence.                        The full announcement is available for inspection at no charge, at the registered office
Operations                                                                                                                                                                                     of ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited, (Room N3-7, Main Building, Delfos Boulevard,
The company’s average capacity utilisation increased from 42% in H1 2022 to 53%                 Renewables and regional infrastructure projects are expected to support steel                  Vanderbijlpark) and the offices of the sponsor (Absa Bank Limited (acting through its
in 2023.                                                                                        demand.                                                                                        Corporate and Investment Banking Division), 15 Alice Lane, Sandton, from 09:00 to 16:00
Crude steel production increased by 29%, or 305 000 tonnes, from 1.05 million                   Exchange rates will continue to have an impact as will rail service and electricity            on business days.
to 1.36 million tonnes for the first six months of 2023. Crude steel production was             reliability.                                                                                   Copies of a full announcement can be requested from the registered office by contacting
unchanged against the immediately preceding six months.                                         ArcelorMittal South Africa is positioned to navigate the immediate and near-term               (016) 889 2352. The short-form announcement has not been audited or reviewed by the
As previously reported, the fourth quarter of 2022 saw the start-up of one of the blast         challenging market conditions while remaining focused on its medium to longer-term             company’s auditors.
furnaces at Vanderbijlpark being delayed due to weak domestic demand. The hot                   objectives.
blast stove restoration programme is currently underway on the second blast furnace.
                                                                                                                                                                                               ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                               (ArcelorMittal South Africa, the company or the group)
The blast furnace in Newcastle is performing well, however, extreme rain conditions             On behalf of the board of directors                                                            Registration number: 1989/002164/06 Share code: ACL ISIN: ZAE000134961
(resulting in flooding) disrupted production on several occasions.
For H1 2023, commercial coke production was 85% lower at 9 000 tonnes, with                                                                                                                    This report is available on the ArcelorMittal South Africa’s website at:
sales volumes down by 83% at 20 000 tonnes due to the previously communicated                   HJ Verster                                   GA Griffiths                                      http://www.arcelormittal.com/southafrica/.
continuing restoration of the coke batteries. A meaningful recovery is expected from            Chief Executive Officer                      Interim Chief Financial Officer                   Share queries: Please call the ArcelorMittal South Africa Share care number toll free on
2025 onwards.                                                                                   27 July 2023                                                                                   0800 006 960 or +27 11 370 7850.