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Quarterly Activities Report

Published: 2025-01-21 08:30:53 ET
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BHP Group Limited
BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077
Registered in Australia
Registered Office: Level 18, 171 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000
Share code: BHG                                                                                                                              21 January 2025
ISIN: AU000000BHP4

Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024
Strong underlying operational performance, with copper production up 10%
“BHP delivered safe and reliable performance in the first half. Our flagship copper, iron ore and steelmaking coal assets delivered particularly
strong production in the period. Copper volumes rose 10%, with Escondida achieving a 10-year production record, more than offsetting the
impact of a weather-related power outage at Copper SA. WAIO shipped record half-year tonnes through the port, enabled by supply chain
improvements following the completion of major debottlenecking at the port. Steelmaking coal tonnes from the BMA operations were up 14%.
We made further progress on our growth pathways in future facing commodities. In January, we completed the formation of Vicuña Corp. with
Lundin Mining to advance the Filo del Sol and Josemaria projects in Argentina, which we consider to be one of the most significant global
copper discoveries in decades. In Canada, our Jansen Stage 1 potash project is now 63% complete, with first production scheduled for late
2026, and we continue to execute Stage 2 in parallel.
In Brazil, Samarco, BHP Brasil and Vale signed a comprehensive settlement agreement with the Brazilian government and public authorities for
the Samarco Fundão dam failure, reflecting BHP Brasil’s commitment to support the people, communities and environment affected by the
tragedy. Our WA Nickel operations were safely transitioned into a period of temporary suspension, with many employees moving into roles to
support this phase or within other parts of BHP.
We are well positioned to continue strong momentum into the second half with a number of assets now expected to deliver production in the
upper half of their respective ranges, while maintaining tight cost control. BHP is in good shape and we have a clear pathway for growth.”
                                                                                                                                   Mike Henry
                                                                                                                  BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
Operational excellence                                                           Guidance
Strong performance, Escondida up 22%                                             Executing to plan
Group copper production increased 10%, driven by a 22%                           We are on track to deliver production in the upper half of the
increase at Escondida.                                                           FY25 guidance range at WAIO, BMA and NSWEC, as is Samarco.
                                                                                 FY25 production guidance at all assets remains unchanged, with the
Strong underlying performance at all other assets, including at
                                                                                 exception of Copper SA, which has been lowered due to the
WAIO, where recent completion of the Port Debottlenecking
Project (PDP1) has unlocked greater throughput, and at BMA                       impacts from the weather-related power outage.
where production increased 14% (excluding production from the                    We maintain sector leading cost discipline and remain on track to
now divested Blackwater and Daunia mines).                                       deliver FY25 unit cost guidance across all assets.

Growth                                                                           Social value
Clear pathways for copper growth                                                 Decarbonising our assets and value chain
In January 2025, we completed the formation of Vicuña Corp., a                   At our 2024 AGM, we received a 92% vote in favour of our second
50/50 joint venture with Lundin Mining to develop the Filo del Sol               Climate Transition Action Plan (CTAP). We are taking action to
and Josemaria copper projects. BHP’s total cash completion                       decarbonise our operated assets and to support decarbonisation in
payment was US$2.0 bn.                                                           our value chain, including the opening of the Port Hedland solar and
In November 2024, we outlined our attractive organic copper                      battery project to provide renewable power to WAIO’s port facility
growth pipeline at our Chilean copper site tour, with low capital                and announcing the site preferred for development of Australia’s
intensity options in both concentrator and leaching pathways.                    largest ironmaking electric smelting furnace (ESF) pilot plant.

    Production                                       Quarter performance            YTD performance                         FY25 guidance

                                                Q2 FY25    v Q1 FY25   v Q2 FY24     HY25       v HY24     Previous         Current
    Copper (kt)                                   510.7          7%           17%   987.0          10%    1,845 – 2,045   1,845 – 2,045
      Escondida (kt)                              339.8          12%         33%    644.0          22%    1,180 – 1,300   1,180 – 1,300           Unchanged
      Pampa Norte (kt)i                            66.2         10%           11%    126.3        (9%)       240 – 270i      240 – 270i           Unchanged
      Copper South Australia (kt)                  71.2         (3%)        (13%)    144.6        (6%)       310 – 340       300 – 325               Lowered
      Antamina (kt)                                30.5        (16%)        (22%)    66.8         (7%)        115 – 135       115 – 135           Unchanged
      Carajás (kt)                                  3.0         30%          67%       5.3         77%                -               -                      -
    Iron ore (Mt)                                  66.2          2%            1%   130.9           1%     255 – 265.5     255 – 265.5
      WAIO (Mt)                                    64.8          2%           0%     128.1          1%       250 – 260       250 – 260             Upper half
      WAIO (100% basis) (Mt)                       73.1          2%            1%    144.7          2%       282 – 294       282 – 294             Upper half
      Samarco (Mt)                                  1.5         14%           13%      2.8          9%          5 – 5.5         5 – 5.5            Upper half
    Steelmaking coal – BMA (Mt)ii                   4.4         (2%)        (23%)      8.9       (21%)        16.5 – 19       16.5 – 19
      BMA (100% basis) (Mt)ii                       8.9         (2%)        (23%)     17.9        (21%)        33 – 38         33 – 38             Upper half
    Energy coal – NSWEC (Mt)                        3.7           1%         (4%)      7.4         (1%)         13 – 15         13 – 15            Upper half
    Nickel – Western Australia Nickel (kt)iii       8.0        (59%)        (59%)     27.6       (31%)                -               -                      -
i       HY24 includes 11 kt from Cerro Colorado which entered temporary care and maintenance in December 2023. Excluding these volumes, HY25 production
        decreased 1%. Production guidance for FY25 is for Spence only. Refer to copper and the production and sales report for further information.
ii      HY24 production includes 3.5 Mt (6.9 Mt on a 100% basis) from the Blackwater and Daunia mines which were divested on 2 April 2024. Excluding these
        volumes, HY25 production increased 14%. Refer to steelmaking coal and the production and sales report for further information.
iii     WA Nickel ramped down and entered temporary suspension in December 2024. Refer to nickel and the production and sales report for further information.
                                                                                         BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024


Summary of disclosures
BHP expects its financial results for the first half of FY25 (HY25) to reflect certain items summarised in the table below. The
table does not provide a comprehensive list of all items impacting the period. The financial statements are the subject of
ongoing work that will not be finalised until the release of the financial results on 18 February 2025. Accordingly, the
information in the table below contains preliminary information that is subject to update and finalisation.
                                                                                                                         HY25 impacti
      Description                                                                                                              (US$M)                   Classificationii
      Unit costs (at guidance FX)

      At HY25, unit costs at Escondida, Spence and WAIO are expected to be within their respective guidance
      ranges. Unit costs at Copper SA and BMA are expected to be higher than their respective guidance ranges
      predominantly due to the weather-related power outage, and the longwall move and maintenance activity
      in HY25 respectively                                                                                                             -           Operating costs
      For FY25, unit cost guidance for all assets remains unchanged, with Copper SA now expected to be in the
      upper half of its range                                                                                                          -           Operating costs
      Average realised exchange rates for HY25 of AUD/USD 0.66 (guidance rate AUD/USD 0.66) and
      USD/CLP 947 (guidance rate USD/CLP 842)                                                                                          -
      Income statement
      Impact of the weather-related power outage on Copper SA                                                                      ~150                       ↓ EBITDA
      Negative EBITDA for WA Nickel                                                                                               ~300                        ↓ EBITDA

      The Group’s adjusted effective tax rate for HY25 is expected to be within the guidance range of 33 – 38%                         -          Taxation expense
      Cash flow statement

      Working capital movements                                                                                              150 – 250       ↓ Operating cash flow
      Net cash tax paid                                                                                                 3,400 – 3,500        ↓ Operating cash flow
      Dividends received from equity-accounted investments                                                                        ~230       ↑ Operating cash flow
      Impact of BHP Brasil’s obligations relating to the Samarco dam failure                                                       637        ↓ Investing cash flow

      Final consideration from the divestment of BMC completed in FY22                                                              150       ↑ Investing cash flow
      Final consideration in relation to the sale of a 15% interest in Western Ridge at WAIO in FY22                                134       ↑ Investing cash flow

      Dividends paid to non-controlling interests                                                                                ~1,100       ↓ Financing cash flow
      Payment of the H2 FY24 dividend                                                                                           ~3,900        ↓ Financing cash flow
      Balance sheet
      The Group’s net debt balance as at 31 December 2024 is expected to be between US$11.5 and US$12.5 bn.
      Following the execution of the final Samarco Settlement Agreement, the Group’s balance sheet will be
      impacted by the associated cash payments. See iron ore section for further information on Samarco.
      For FY25, the Group’s net debt balance is expected to increase to around the top end of the net debt target
      range of US$5 to US$15 bn following completion of the Vicuña transaction and payment of the H2 Samarco
      settlement obligations                                                                                                           -                      Net debt

      Exceptional items
      Financial impact of the Samarco dam failure                                                                      Refer footnoteiii           Exceptional item
      Costs associated with WA Nickel transitioning into temporary suspension                                               300 – 350              Exceptional item
i       Numbers are not tax effected, unless otherwise noted.
ii      There will be a corresponding balance sheet, cash flow and/or income statement impact as relevant, unless otherwise noted.
iii     Financial impact is the subject of ongoing work and is not yet finalised. See iron ore section for further information on Samarco operations.




                    Further information in Appendix 1

                    Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2




                                                                                     2
                                                            BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024


Segment and asset performance | FY25 YTD v FY24 YTD
Copper
Production               Total copper production increased 10% to 987 kt. Copper production guidance for FY25
                         remains unchanged at between 1,845 and 2,045 kt.
987 kt 10%
                         Escondida 644 kt 22% (100% basis)
HY24 894 kt
                         Escondida achieved a 10-year production record in HY25, primarily due to higher
FY25e 1,845 – 2,045 kt
                         concentrator feed grade of 1.03% (HY24: 0.81%) and higher recoveries as mining progressed
                         into areas of higher-grade ore as planned. This was partially offset by planned lower cathode
                         production, as the integration of the Full SaL project continued. The project remains on track
Average realised price
                         for first production later in FY25.
US$3.99/lb 9%           Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,180 and 1,300 kt.
HY24 US$3.66/lb          Concentrator feed grade for FY25 is expected to remain above 0.90%.

                         Pampa Norte 126 kt 9%
                         Pampa Norte consists of Spence and Cerro Colorado. Cerro Colorado remains in temporary
                         care and maintenance having contributed 11 kt in HY24.
                         Spence production decreased 1% in line with lower cathode production. Concentrator feed
                         grade was in line with the prior period and recoveries continue to improve.
                         Production guidance for FY25 for Spence remains unchanged at between 240 and 270 kt.

                         Copper South Australia 145 kt 6%
                         Strong underlying performance in Q1 was followed by a two-week weather-related power
                         outage due to a significant storm at the beginning of Q2. The integrity of all major
                         infrastructure was maintained at Olympic Dam during the outage. Ramp up after the outage
                         was achieved safely over the subsequent two weeks, and since then performance has been
                         strong with 30 kt of copper production achieved across Copper SA in December.
                         Carrapateena continues to perform well, with higher productivity from the sub-level cave
                         enabled by Crusher 2. Production was lower at Prominent Hill due to the impacts of the minor
                         pit geotechnical instability and ventilation constraints in Q1, which was partially offset by
                         inventory drawdowns.
                         Production guidance for FY25 has been revised down to between 300 and 325 kt as a result
                         of the impacts from the weather-related power outage.

                         Other copper
                         At Antamina, copper production decreased 7% to 67 kt reflecting planned lower
                         concentrator throughput and a slight decline in ore grade. Zinc production was 39% lower at
                         42 kt, as a result of planned lower feed grades and throughput.
                         For FY25, at Antamina, copper production guidance of between 115 and 135 kt and zinc
                         production guidance of between 90 and 110 kt remain unchanged.
                         Carajás produced 5.3 kt of copper and 4.0 troy koz of gold.




                                                        3
                                                                                      BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024


Iron ore
Production                              Iron ore production increased 1% to 131 Mt. Production guidance for FY25 remains
                                        unchanged at between 255 and 265.5 Mt.
131 Mt 1%
                                        WAIO 128 Mt 1% | 145 Mt (100% basis)
HY24 129 Mt
                                        Production increased as a result of continued strong supply chain performance with record
FY25e 255 – 265.5 Mt
                                        volumes delivered from the Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and Mining Area C) following
                                        the completion of the ramp up of South Flank in FY24 and a 9% increase in productive
                                        movement across the asset. In addition, PDP1 which was delivered in CY24, has unlocked
Average realised price
                                        improved car dumper cycle times and ship loader performance. This was partially offset by
US$81.11/wmt 22%                       the planned increase in tie-in activity of the multi-year Rail Technology Program (RTP1) and
                                        wet weather in December.
HY24 US$103.70/wmt
                                        Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282 and
                                        294 Mt on a 100% basis), with production now expected to be in the upper half of the range.

                                        Samarco 2.8 Mt 9% | 5.5 Mt (100% basis)
                                        Production increased in line with the resumption of latent pelletising plant capacity and
                                        restart of the second concentrator in December, ahead of schedule. This will increase
                                        production capacity to ~16 Mtpa of pellets (100% basis) once fully ramped up, which is
                                        expected by early FY26. Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 5 and
                                        5.5 Mt, with production now expected to be in the upper half of the range.
                                        On 25 October 2024, BHP announced an agreement between the Federal Government of
                                        Brazil, the State of Minas Gerais, the State of Espírito Santo, the public prosecutors and
                                        public defenders (Public Authorities) and Samarco, BHP Brasil and Vale (Agreement). The
                                        Agreement delivers a full and final settlement of the Framework Agreement obligations, the
                                        Federal Public Prosecution Office civil claim and other claims by the Public Authorities
                                        relating to the dam failure1. The Agreement was ratified by the Supreme Court of Brazil in
                                        Brasilia on 6 November 2024.
                                        The Agreement creates separate ‘Obligation to Pay’ and ‘Obligations to Perform’ for BHP
                                        Brasil. As announced on 25 October 2024, the cash impact of the Obligation to Pay was
                                        expected to be ~R$11.0 bn in FY25, ~R$7.0 bn in FY26 and ~R$5.0 bn in FY27 (100% basis).
                                        The Obligations to Perform were expected to be ~R$6.6 bn in FY25, ~R$14.7 bn in FY26 and
                                        ~R$3.1 bn in FY27 (100% basis)2. The cash impact of the obligations relating to the Samarco
                                        dam failure was US$637 m in HY253. The HY25 financial impacts associated with the
                                        Agreement are the subject of ongoing work that will not be finalised until the release of the
                                        financial results on 18 February 2025.


Coal
Steelmaking coal
Production                              BMA 8.9 Mt 21% | 17.9 Mt (100% basis)

8.9 Mt 21%                             Production increased 14% (excluding 3.5 Mt in HY24 from the now divested Blackwater and
                                        Daunia mines) underpinned by improved strip ratios and increased prime stripping as a result
HY24 11.3 Mt
                                        of an uplift in truck productivity. This was partially offset by slower production rates at
FY25e 16.5 – 19 Mt                      Broadmeadow following the longwall move due to geotechnical characteristics as well as the
                                        planned increase in raw coal inventory to improve the stability of the value chain.
                                        Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 16.5 and 19 Mt (33 and 38 Mt
Average realised price
                                        on a 100% basis), with production now expected to be in the upper half of the range. We
US$206.37/t 23%                        remain focused on restoring value chain stability, in particular building raw coal inventory,
                                        which will continue into CY26.
HY24 US$266.43/t


1 Under the final settlement agreement, Samarco is the primary obligor for the settlement obligations and BHP Brasil and Vale are each secondary obligors of
any obligation that Samarco cannot fund or perform in proportion to their shareholding at the time of the dam failure, which is 50% each.
2 All financial obligations are presented on a real, undiscounted basis and will accrue inflation at IPCA inflation rate. Payments will be made in Brazilian Reais.
The FY25 scheduled Obligation to Pay payment will include CY24 and CY25 instalments.
3 Calculated based on actual transactional (historical) exchange rates.

                                                                                  4
                                                                   BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024




Energy coal
Production                    NSWEC 7.4 Mt 1%

7.4 Mt 1%                    Production was broadly in line despite a higher proportion of washed coal. Inventory was
                              drawn down to offset the impacts of reduced truck availability and unfavourable weather
HY24 7.5 Mt
                              conditions.
FY25e 13 – 15 Mt
                              Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt, with production
                              now expected to be in the upper half of the range.
Average realised price        We still expect an outcome from the NSW Government in Q3 FY25 regarding the
                              modification to extend the mining consent to 30 June 2030.
US$124.42/t 1%
HY24 US$123.29/t


Group & Unallocated
Nickel
Production                    Western Australia Nickel 28 kt 31%

28 kt 31%                    Production decreased significantly as expected, as we successfully transitioned the Nickel
                              West supply chain (and West Musgrave project) into temporary suspension in line with
HY24 40 kt
                              schedule. Production outcomes benefited from the drawdown of inventory to realise
                              additional value.

Average realised price        We expect costs to be elevated in HY25, as a result of operational and ramp down activities
                              combined with the drawdown of inventory as the operations transitioned to temporary
US$16,386/t 12%              suspension.
HY24 US$18,602/t              We have redeployed over 800 employees, with the majority moving to roles across the
                              Australian operations. BHP intends to review the decision to temporarily suspend Western
                              Australia Nickel by February 2027.
                              No production guidance has been provided for FY25.



Quarterly performance | Q2 FY25 v Q1 FY25

Copper                                                        Iron ore
511 kt 7%           Higher production at Escondida and       66 Mt 2%                 Higher production at WAIO as a result of
                     Spence due to higher grades and mine                               strong supply chain performance,
Q1 FY25 476 kt      sequencing, partially offset by lower    Q1 FY25 65 Mt             partially offset by significant wet
                     volumes at Copper SA due to a                                      weather.
                     weather-related power outage
                     impacting Olympic Dam.


Steelmaking coal                                              Energy coal
4.4 Mt 2%           Lower production due to significant      3.7 Mt 1%                Higher production due to higher wash
                     wet weather and the longwall move at                               plant feed, partially offset by lower yield.
Q1 FY25 4.5 Mt       Broadmeadow, partially offset by         Q1 FY25 3.7 Mt
                     inventory drawdown.



Nickel
8.0 kt 59%          Inventory was drawn down as
                     operations transitioned into temporary
Q1 FY25 19.6 kt      suspension as planned.




                                                               5
                                                                                        BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024


Appendix 1
Average realised pricesi
                                                                                  Quarter performance                                        YTD performance
                                                                      Q2 FY25               v Q1 FY25              v Q2 FY24                HY25                v HY24
    Copper (US$/lb)ii, iii, iv                                            3.73                   (12%)                     1%               3.99                    9%
                                 v
    Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)                                               82.11                     3%                  (25%)               81.11                 (22%)
    Steelmaking coal (US$/t)vi, vii                                     198.65                    (8%)                  (32%)           206.37                    (23%)

    Thermal coal (US$/t)viii                                            124.52                      0%                     3%           124.42                       1%
    Nickel metal (US$/t)ix                                              16,842                      3%                     0%           16,386                    (12%)
i       Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude sales from equity accounted investments, third party product and internal sales, and represent
        the weighted average of various sales terms (for example: FOB, CIF and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional pricing and
        finalisation adjustments.
ii      The large majority of copper cathodes sales were linked to index price for quotation periods one month after month of shipment, and three to four months
        after month of shipment for copper concentrates sales with price differentials applied for location and treatment costs.
iii     At 31 December 2024, the Group had 427 kt of outstanding copper sales that were revalued at a weighted average price of US$3.95/lb. The final price of
        these sales will be determined over the remainder of FY25. In addition, 430 kt of copper sales from FY24 were subject to a finalisation adjustment in the
        current period. The displayed prices include the impact of these provisional pricing and finalisation adjustments.
iv      Sales from Carrapateena and Prominent Hill acquired through the purchase of OZL are included since Q4 FY24 period.
v       The large majority of iron ore shipments were linked to index pricing for the month of shipment, with price differentials predominantly a reflection of
        market fundamentals and product quality. Iron ore sales for HY25 were based on an average moisture rate of 7.0% (HY24: 6.7%).
vi      The large majority of steelmaking coal and energy coal exports were linked to index pricing for the month of scheduled shipment or priced on the spot
        market at fixed or index-linked prices, with price differentials reflecting product quality.
vii     From FY25, steelmaking coal refers to hard coking coal which is generally those steelmaking coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of 35 and
        above. Comparative periods include impacts from weak coking coal, which refers generally to those steelmaking coals with a CSR below 35, which were
        sold by Blackwater and Daunia mines, divested on 2 April 2024.
viii Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from steelmaking coal mines.
ix      Relates to refined nickel metal only, excludes intermediate products and nickel sulphate.


Current year unit cost guidance
                                                                                                                                  FY25 guidancei
Unit cost                                                                                                                       Current

    Escondida (US$/lb)                                                                                                      1.30 – 1.60                   Unchanged
    Spence (US$/lb)                                                                                                        2.00 – 2.30                    Unchanged
                            ii
    Copper SA (US$/lb)                                                                                                      1.30 – 1.80                    Upper half
    WAIO (US$/t)                                                                                                         18.00 – 19.50                    Unchanged

    BMA (US$/t)                                                                                                                 112 – 124                 Unchanged
i       FY25 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of AUD/USD 0.66 and USD/CLP 842.
ii      Calculated using the following assumptions for by-products: gold US$2,000/oz, and uranium US$80/lb.


Medium term guidancei
                                                                                                                                   Production                  Unit cost
                                                                                                                                     guidance               guidanceii
    Escondidaiii                                                                                                           900 – 1,000 ktpa          US$1.50 – 1.80/lb

    Spence                                                                                                                           ~250 ktpa      US$2.05 – 2.35/lb
    WAIO (100% basis)                                                                                                               >305 Mtpa