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General information

Leading nitrogen fertilizers producer, increasing output every year and having US-denominated sales; subject to nitrogen fertilizers volatility
  • Current market environment: negative. Prices of production are 8.0% lower compared to the last 12 months (LTM)
  • Prices of production are at 43.4% percentile over the past 5 years, adjusted for inflation
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 2.7%
  • Free cash flow yield -3.9% (LTM), projected -6.3%
  • Share of USD-denominated sales in revenue of the company (estimate) 97.8%
  • Share price is 146.0% higher than minimum and 41.6% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is overvalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (12.0x vs
    )
  • The company is overvalued by EV / projected EBITDA multiple compared to target level (
    vs
    )
  • Taking into account the impact of the key rate 18% on the change in financial parameters: EBITDA adjustment is -6 806 mln rub as NetDebt * (current key rate - normalized 7%) / 2, expected EBITDA adjusted for key rate increases is 35 855 mln rub, expected mult is 21.3x, target mult is 9x, potential is -68.9%

Key Financials (Download financials)

Ticker: AKRN
Share price, RUB:  (+2.1%)15766
year average price 17399  


year start price 18952 2023-09-19

max close price 19224 2023-10-17

min close price 14850 2024-09-02

current price 15766 2024-09-17
Common stocks: 40 530 000

Dividend Yield:  2.7%
FCF Yield LTM / expected: -3.9% / -6.3%
EV / LTM EBITDA: 12.0x
EV / EBITDA annualized: 15.6x
Production prices change from LTM: -8.0%
EV / projected EBITDA:
Target EV / EBITDA (hist percentile):
Express share price potential:
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap (m RUB): 638 996
Net Debt (m RUB): 107 247
EV (Enterprise Value): 746 243
EBITDA LTM (m RUB): 61 968
EV / LTM EBITDA: 12.0x
Average daily trading volume for the week, RUB mln: 54
P / E 17.6x
P / B 3.2x

Revenue and EBITDA

Quarterly values (m RUB)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

FCF (m RUB), before FX effects elimination

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents (m RUB)

Share price and dividends (Download history)

Share price

Payment RUB per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 50% percentile

Potential dynamics

Daily trade volumes

Millions of RUB

P/B and P/E multipliers

P / B

P / E

More information for subscribed users:
detailed calculation of
Potential and Created Value,
commodities affecting the company