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General information

Leading nitrogen fertilizers producer, increasing output every year and having US-denominated sales; subject to nitrogen fertilizers volatility
  • Current market environment: positive. Prices of production are 12.3% higher compared to the last 12 months (LTM)
  • Prices of production are at 62.4% percentile over the past 5 years, adjusted for inflation
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 2.5%
  • Free cash flow yield 4.0% (LTM), projected 3.6%
  • Share of USD-denominated sales in revenue of the company (estimate) 97.8%
  • Share price is 187.6% higher than minimum and 37.2% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is undervalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (8.8x vs
    )
  • The company is overvalued by EV / projected EBITDA multiple compared to target level (
    vs
    )
  • Taking into account the impact of the key rate 16.0% on the change in financial parameters: EBITDA adjustment is -2 617 mln rub as NetDebt * (current key rate - normalized 7%) / 2, expected EBITDA adjusted for key rate increases is 79 824 mln rub, expected mult is 9.3x, target mult is 9.0x, potential is -4.0%

Key Financials (Download financials)

Ticker: AKRN
Share price, RUB:  (-0.2%)16970
year average price 18757  


year start price 19086 2023-04-28

max close price 20546 2023-09-06

min close price 17000 2024-04-25

current price 16970 2024-04-26
Common stocks: 40 530 000

Dividend Yield:  2.5%
FCF Yield LTM / expected: 4.0% / 3.6%
EV / LTM EBITDA: 8.8x
EV / EBITDA annualized: 20.1x
Production prices change from LTM: 12.3%
EV / projected EBITDA:
Target EV / EBITDA (hist percentile):
Express share price potential:
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap (m RUB): 687 794
Net Debt (m RUB): 64 053
EV (Enterprise Value): 751 847
EBITDA LTM (m RUB): 85 623
EV / LTM EBITDA: 8.8x
Average daily trading volume for the week, RUB mln: 56.46

Revenue and EBITDA

Quarterly values (m RUB)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

FCF (m RUB), before FX effects elimination

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents (m RUB)

Share price and dividends (Download history)

Share price

Payment RUB per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 50% percentile

Potential dynamics

Daily trade volumes

Millions of RUB

More information for subscribed users:
detailed calculation of
Potential and Created Value,
commodities affecting the company