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General information

Leading nitrogen fertilizers producer, increasing output every year and having US-denominated sales; subject to nitrogen fertilizers volatility
  • Current market environment: positive. Prices of production are 1.9% higher compared to the last 12 months (LTM)
  • Prices of production are at 57.8% percentile over the past 5 years, adjusted for inflation
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 2.7%
  • Free cash flow yield -3.6% (LTM), projected -3.5%
  • Share of USD-denominated sales in revenue of the company (estimate) 97.8%
  • Share price is 17.4% higher than minimum and 31.1% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is overvalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (11.6x vs
    )
  • The company is overvalued by EV / projected EBITDA multiple compared to target level (
    vs
    )
  • Taking into account the impact of the key rate 21.0% on the change in financial parameters: EBITDA adjustment is -6 608 mln rub as NetDebt * (current key rate - normalized 7%) / 2, expected EBITDA adjusted for key rate increases is 58 996 mln rub, expected mult is 12.5x, target mult is 8.9x, potential is -32.5%

Key Financials (Download financials)

Ticker: AKRN
Share price, RUB:  (-3.4%)15852
year average price 16519  


year start price 17362 2024-03-31

min close price 14850 2024-09-02

max close price 18178 2025-02-12

current price 15852 2025-03-30
Common stocks: 40 530 000

Dividend Yield:  2.7%
FCF Yield LTM / expected: -3.6% / -3.5%
EV / LTM EBITDA: 11.6x
EV / EBITDA annualized: 9.3x
Production prices change from LTM: 1.9%
EV / projected EBITDA:
Target EV / EBITDA (hist percentile):
Express share price potential:
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap (m RUB): 642 482
Net Debt (m RUB): 116 473
EV (Enterprise Value): 758 955
EBITDA LTM (m RUB): 65 198
Net Income LTM (m RUB): 45 110
EV / LTM EBITDA: 11.6x
Net Debt / LTM EBITDA (if EBITDA > 0): 1.8x
Average daily trading volume for the week, RUB mln: 81
P / E 14.2x
P / B 3.1x

Revenue and EBITDA

Quarterly values (m RUB)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

FCF (m RUB), before FX effects elimination

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents (m RUB)

Share price and dividends (Download history)

Share price

Payment RUB per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 50% percentile

Potential dynamics

Daily trade volumes

Millions of RUB

P/B and P/E multipliers

P / B

P / E

More information for subscribed users:
detailed calculation of
Potential and Created Value,
commodities affecting the company