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General information

Leading nickel and PGMs producer. Recently enjoys increasing demand due to grow of electric vehicles and renewables. In 2020 faced ecological problems / is likely to pay large (over $2bn) fine, which put certain pressure on the company share prices
  • Current market environment: positive. Prices of production are 4.4% higher compared to the last 12 months (LTM)
  • Prices of production are at 37.6% percentile over the past 5 years, adjusted for inflation
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 0.1%
  • Free cash flow yield -5.7% (LTM), projected -8.3%
  • Share of USD-denominated sales in revenue of the company (estimate) ≈ 100.0%
  • Share price is 29.1% higher than minimum and 31.4% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is overvalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (6.2x vs
    )
  • The company is overvalued by EV / projected EBITDA multiple compared to target level (
    vs
    )
  • Taking into account the impact of the key rate 14.0% on the change in financial parameters: EBITDA adjustment is 10 905 mln rub as NetDebt * (expected key rate - 3 years average 16.4%) / 2, expected EBITDA adjusted for key rate increases is 398 177 mln rub, expected mult is 7.0x, target mult is 6.9x, potential is -3.0%

Key Financials (Download financials)

Ticker: GMKN
Share price, RUB:  (-3.1%)123.98
year average price 134.86  


year start price 109.08 2025-07-03

min close price 101.40 2025-07-11

max close price 170.50 2026-01-29

current price 123.68 2026-07-02
Common stocks: 15 286 339 700

Dividend Yield:  0.1%
FCF Yield LTM / expected: -5.7% / -8.3%
EV / LTM EBITDA:6.2x
EV / EBITDA annualized: 5.6x
Production prices change from LTM: 4.4%
EV / projected EBITDA:
Target EV / EBITDA (hist percentile):
Express share price potential:
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap (m RUB): 1 895 200
Net Debt (m RUB): 881 143
EV (Enterprise Value): 2 776 343
EBITDA LTM (m RUB): 448 093
Net Income LTM (m RUB): 198 146
EV / LTM EBITDA: 6.2x
Net Debt / LTM EBITDA (if EBITDA > 0): 2.0x
Average daily trading volume for the week, RUB mln: 2529
[auto extract] P / E 9.6x
[auto extract] P / E ann-d7.6x
[auto extract] P / B 2.1x
EBITDA margin ann-d 42.5%
Net income margin ann-d 22.9%

Revenue and EBITDA

Semi-Annual values (m RUB)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

FCF (m RUB), before FX effects elimination

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents (m RUB)

Share price and dividends (Download history)

Share price

Payment RUB per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 50% percentile

Potential dynamics

Daily trade volumes

Millions of RUB

P/B and P/E multipliers

P / B

P / E

Фьючерсы
Название Инструмент Дата экспирации Последняя цена За день Дневной объем млн руб Цена акции Контанго / бэквордация Annualized
Фьючерсный контракт GMKN-9.26 GKU6 2026-09-18 1269.00 -3.4% 566.1 123.98 +2.4% +11.5%
Фьючерсный контракт GMKN-12.26 GKZ6 2026-12-18 1306.00 -3.6% 4.2 123.98 +5.3% +11.9%
MSFO data *The values are shown in mln. The % change shows the difference from the same period last year

View as Pivot Table       Export as Pivot Table (xlsx)



Income


Q Revenue Gross profit Operating income Net income PercentProfit PercentLoss
 
2025 H2 ( 15023 , 15024 ) 542 965-20% 243 105-21% 177 288-15% 124 598+29%   -26 623-47%
2025 H1 ( 12259 , 12260 ) 564 622+11% 250 254+9% 138 622+6% 73 548-2%   -48 304+40%
2024 H2 ( 9284 , 9285 ) 680 169-14% 307 011-25% 208 674-31% 96 962-48%   -50 431+67%
2024 H1 ( 8940 , 8941 ) 508 970-8% 229 881-18% 130 466-39% 75 265-9%   -34 591+51%
2023 H2 ( 7680 , 7681 ) 793 660+133% 408 767+124% 303 991+125% 185 905<-100%   -30 118<-100%
2023 H1 ( 6815 , 6816 ) 552 903-20% 281 431-34% 214 336-35% 82 615-79% 22 931 -22 931-25%
2022 H2 ( 6817 , 6818 ) 340 010-48% 182 244-58% 135 254-56% -31 672<-100%   329<-100%
2022 H1 ( 6819 , 6820 ) 692 855+4% 428 260-6% 329 567-17% 390 604+23%   -30 557+137%
2021 H2 ( 726 , 3001 ) 651 7660% 432 971-6% 307 085-16% 195 926-25%   -7 637-74%
2021 H1 ( 3002 , 3003 ) 665 182+42% 456 387+55% 396 824>+200% 316 953>+200%   -12 900-62%
2020 H2 ( 3004 , 3005 ) 655 006+40% 458 554+54% 365 558+50% 260 653+36%   -29 600+113%
2020 H1 ( 3006 , 3007 ) 468 057+14% 293 625+20% 95 899-55% 3 139-98%   -33 547>+200%
2019 H2 ( 6829 , 6830 ) 466 591+10% 297 960+93% 243 061+50% 192 282+96%   -13 871-24%
2019 H1 ( 3008 , 3009 ) 410 014+19% 244 758+26% 213 153+32% 195 298+102%   -5 800-60%
2018 H2 ( 6833 , 6834 ) 424 710+41% 154 144+1% 162 104+20% 98 197-14%   -18 214+22%
2018 H1 ( 727 , 728 ) 345 250+39% 194 950+63% 161 530+93% 96 620+75%   -14 617-5%
2017 H2 ( 729 , 730 ) 302 244+28% 152 945+9% 134 702+53% 114 422>+200%   -14 955>+200%
2017 H1 ( 731 , 732 ) 247 705-7% 119 590-11% 83 571-20% 55 141-38%   -15 369-3%
2016 H2 ( 733 , 734 ) 236 508-12% 139 712-7% 88 199-3% 12 548+6%   -4 274-69%
2016 H1 ( 735 , 736 ) 266 855-4% 134 328-15% 105 032-23% 88 914-10%   -15 823+115%
2015 H2 ( 737 , 738 ) 268 812-10% 149 697-9% 90 826-29% 11 818-64%   -13 704>+200%
2015 H1 ( 739 , 740 ) 278 233+39% 158 749+67% 135 837+91% 99 122+95%   -7 372+124%
2014 H2 ( 741 , 742 ) 299 018+55% 165 036+101% 128 459>+200% 33 105>+200%   -4 234-37%
2014 H1 ( 743 , 744 ) 199 730+13% 95 316+24% 70 997+27% 50 947>+200%   -3 289-38%
2013 H2 ( 745 , 746 ) 193 165-5% 82 236-16% 22 364-60% 6 636-70%   -6 678+35%
2013 H1 176 424-3% 76 732-13% 55 695-14% 16 910-63%   -5 306+27%
2012 H2 202 805-6% 98 441-25% 55 713-39% 21 973-62%   -4 960+78%
2012 H1 181 683-13% 88 099-27% 64 657-33% 45 382-33%   -4 167+135%
2011 H2 ( 752 , 753 ) 216 641+10% 130 894+8% 91 485-9% 58 386-28% 10 912>+200% -2 786+31%
2011 H1 209 854 120 648 96 816 68 034   -1 774
2010 H2 196 676+47% 121 500+78% 100 870+80% 80 579+105% 2 -2 125-22%
2009 H2 133 939 68 443 55 899 39 263   -2 728


Balance


Implied interest rate for 2025 H2:
= (PercentLoss - PercentProfit) * (365 / periodLength) / (NetDebt - MinorityInterest)
= (26 623 - 0) * 2 / (904 396 - 167 446)

Q Total equity Total assets Net debt Implied interest rate NetDebt / LTM EBITDA
 
2025 H2 ( 15023 , 15024 ) 890 003+27% 2 458 284+4% 904 396-15% 7.2% 1.97x
2025 H1 ( 12259 , 12260 ) 782 880+24% 2 436 290+11% 977 718-5% 11.5% 2.09x
2024 H2 ( 9284 , 9285 ) 699 251+21% 2 355 919+11% 1 068 349+4% 10.7% 2.26x
2024 H1 ( 8940 , 8941 ) 633 520+10% 2 186 448+6% 1 032 942+10% 7.6% 1.98x
2023 H2 ( 7680 , 7681 ) 577 943+15% 2 130 689+17% 1 023 508+23% 6.6% 1.45x
2023 H1 ( 6815 , 6816 ) 578 314+25% 2 058 128+31% 942 872+55%   1.77x
2022 H2 ( 6817 , 6818 ) 500 963+83% 1 814 406+4% 829 922+21%   1.29x
2022 H1 ( 6819 , 6820 ) 463 461+66% 1 577 018+31% 610 107+44% 11.6% 0.84x
2021 H2 ( 726 , 3001 ) 273 847-8% 1 741 168+14% 683 997+69% 2.5% 0.58x
2021 H1 ( 3002 , 3003 ) 279 163+87% 1 202 039-17% 422 251-25% 6.2% 0.75x
2020 H2 ( 3004 , 3005 ) 297 254+26% 1 529 478+27% 405 289-28% 16.6% 0.75x
2020 H1 ( 3006 , 3007 ) 149 470-38% 1 452 068+40% 564 001+54% 12.7% 1.37x
2019 H2 ( 6829 , 6830 ) 236 533+5% 1 208 035+13% 560 532+11% 5.2% 0.85x
2019 H1 ( 3008 , 3009 ) 241 703-4% 1 040 741-10% 365 590-23% 3.2% 0.75x
2018 H2 ( 6833 , 6834 ) 225 022-3% 1 064 787+7% 504 501+44% 7.5% 1.29x
2018 H1 ( 727 , 728 ) 252 848+20% 1 155 129+16% 476 608+18% 6.4% 1.26x
2017 H2 ( 729 , 730 ) 231 9230% 998 2650% 350 7430% 8.6% 2.21x
2017 H1 ( 731 , 732 ) 210 559-1% 997 249+5% 404 015+20% 7.7% 1.45x
2016 H2 ( 733 , 734 ) 231 923+41% 998 265+1% 350 743-3% 2.5% 1.10x
2016 H1 ( 735 , 736 ) 212 821-20% 946 574+25% 337 479+69% 9.4% 1.43x
2015 H2 ( 737 , 738 ) 164 768-42% 983 972+26% 363 019+74% 7.6% 1.29x
2015 H1 ( 739 , 740 ) 266 823-19% 754 624+14% 199 135+69% 7.5% 0.65x
2014 H2 ( 741 , 742 ) 282 424-10% 778 857+27% 208 145+35% 4.1% 0.85x
2014 H1 ( 743 , 744 ) 329 797-4% 662 7530% 117 981-30% 5.8% 0.97x
2013 H2 ( 745 , 746 ) 314 847-20% 614 746-4% 154 467+32% 8.9% 1.25x
2013 H1 344 886-4% 664 222+9% 169 159+76% 6.4% 2.46x
2012 H2 392 115+9% 640 965+6% 117 442-9% 8.7%  
2012 H1 358 760 610 242 96 223 9.0%  
2011 H2 ( 752 , 753 ) 360 451-34% 607 453-17% 129 540<-100% -12.9%  
2011 H1          
2010 H2 549 465 730 898 -49 890    
2009 H2          


Cashflow


Q Operating cashflow Investing cashflow Financial cashflow
 
2025 H2 ( 15023 , 15024 ) 267 035-11% 82 104-4%  
2025 H1 ( 12259 , 12260 ) 244 052+61% -95 821+4%  
2024 H2 ( 9284 , 9285 ) 300 832-21% 85 968<-100%  
2024 H1 ( 8940 , 8941 ) 151 892-43% -92 515-17%  
2023 H2 ( 7680 , 7681 ) 379 295>+200% -172 657+42%  
2023 H1 ( 6815 , 6816 ) 265 526+8% -111 955-16%  
2022 H2 ( 6817 , 6818 ) 103 748-77% -121 593-1%  
2022 H1 ( 6819 , 6820 ) 246 539+3% -132 799+89%  
2021 H2 ( 726 , 3001 ) 443 0230% -123 276+45%  
2021 H1 ( 3002 , 3003 ) 238 479-7% -70 327+97%  
2020 H2 ( 3004 , 3005 ) 440 877+52% -85 104+81%  
2020 H1 ( 3006 , 3007 ) 256 242+16% -35 709+44%  
2019 H2 ( 6829 , 6830 ) 290 390+31% -47 102+108%  
2019 H1 ( 3008 , 3009 ) 221 298+6% -24 828-23%  
2018 H2 ( 6833 , 6834 ) 222 009+21% -22 630-74%  
2018 H1 ( 727 , 728 ) 208 403+141% -32 316-15%  
2017 H2 ( 729 , 730 ) 183 714+41% -87 851>+200%  
2017 H1 ( 731 , 732 ) 86 483-34% -38 125-39%  
2016 H2 ( 733 , 734 ) 129 924+17% -17 138-72%  
2016 H1 ( 735 , 736 ) 131 341-24% -62 343+185%  
2015 H2 ( 737 , 738 ) 111 190-38% -62 206+75%  
2015 H1 ( 739 , 740 ) 171 784+62% -21 839+38%  
2014 H2 ( 741 , 742 ) 178 473+84% -35 540+21%  
2014 H1 ( 743 , 744 ) 106 128+67% -15 816-39%  
2013 H2 ( 745 , 746 ) 96 809+28% -29 294-69%  
2013 H1 63 421-3% -26 125<-100%  
2012 H2 75 393-37% -94 228<-100%  
2012 H1 65 270-21% 3 647>+200%  
2011 H2 ( 752 , 753 ) 119 897+8% 1 607<-100%  
2011 H1 83 112 114  
2010 H2 110 631+81% -662<-100%  
2009 H2 61 121 1 223  
RSBU data *The values are shown in mln. The % change shows the difference from the same period last year

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Income


Q Revenue Gross profit Operating income Net income PercentProfit PercentLoss
 
2026 q1 282 174+9% 124 956+13% 104 398+15% 22 177-64% 3 928+155% -30 876-39%
2025 q4 247 219-5% 82 154-19% 59 036-17% 119 113+40% 4 074+58% -31 218-32%
2025 q3 203 265-7% 50 030-39% 29 507-50% -36 027+16% 5 392>+200% -40 190+7%
2025 q2 198 603-7% 64 407-22% 45 298-25% -2 263<-100% 2 722+25% -46 401+34%
2025 q1 257 961+21% 110 868+45% 90 712+71% 60 823+115% 1 542+183% -50 962+65%
2024 q4 261 051+2% 100 874+17% 71 032+29% 85 105-60% 2 581>+200% -46 153+93%
2024 q3 217 617-3% 81 715+5% 59 572-2% -30 967-28% 810-41% -37 580+66%
2024 q2 213 323+8% 82 477+15% 60 533+13% 40 569-72% 2 170>+200% -34 605+77%
2024 q1 213 477+7% 76 310+7% 53 085-4% 28 242<-100% 545+55% -30 837+96%
2023 q4 254 835+12% 86 073+4% 55 064-11% 214 734<-100% 588+37% -23 866+65%
2023 q3 225 008+21% 78 071+9% 60 916+9% -42 889+77% 1 368>+200% -22 643+81%
2023 q2 197 663+3% 71 592-9% 53 702-12% 142 639-55% 483-87% -19 559+56%
2023 q1 199 347-15% 71 368-42% 55 551-47% -31 663<-100% 351-95% -15 770+17%
2022 q4 226 629-11% 82 574-37% 61 726-40% -126 454>+200% 430-83% -14 432+98%
2022 q3 185 279-32% 71 834-52% 55 779-58% -24 218<-100% 413-13% -12 485+89%
2022 q2 191 256+33% 78 847+3% 61 261-2% 314 310>+200% 3 850+164% -12 566+94%
2022 q1 234 371+25% 122 244+6% 103 8440% 13 875-93% 6 428>+200% -13 447+88%
2021 q4 253 386-3% 131 208-25% 103 217-35% -17 591<-100% 2 484 -7 280
2021 q3 271 461+13% 149 078-5% 132 363-9% 82 238+43% 477 -6 598
2021 q2 143 375-31% 76 230-44% 62 653-49% 55 166-61% 1 461 -6 469
2021 q1 187 675-13% 115 272-26% 103 401-28% 193 849<-100% 1 169 -7 146
2020 q4 261 194+8% 173 891+2% 159 472+2% 104 876-16%    
2020 q3 240 827+1% 156 3380% 144 701-1% 57 543-69%    
2020 q2 207 325-8% 135 236-11% 123 380-12% 142 633+32%    
2020 q1 214 561+25% 156 479+45% 144 467+50% -4 916<-100%    
2019 q4 241 748+49% 170 252+86% 155 617+98% 125 173>+200%    
2019 q3 239 207+43% 156 429+51% 145 487+55% 187 648>+200%    
2019 q2 225 979+42% 151 906+49% 139 485+57% 107 986+166%    
2019 q1 171 210+41% 107 656+42% 96 485+43% 93 870+92%    
2018 q4 161 743 91 459 78 500 18 574    
2018 q3 167 017 103 631 93 657 57 054    
2018 q2 159 431+63% 101 643+84% 88 621+92% 40 527>+200%    
2018 q1 121 120+28% 76 035+35% 67 397+36% 48 801+30%    
2017 q2 97 885+11% 55 137+7% 46 126+9% 12 760-70% 1 214-28% -10 152+4%
2017 q1 94 389-18% 56 406-23% 49 438-23% 37 473-26% 896-42% -9 209-18%
2016 q4 113 868+43% 68 038+24% 58 702+38% -3 828<-100% 2 052-19% -9 316-10%
2016 q3 105 560+3% 60 879-15% 53 387-15% 33 417-24% 1 228-48% -9 125+17%
2016 q2 88 228-14% 51 369-23% 42 333-32% 42 478-10% 1 696-27% -9 764+72%
2016 q1 115 172-1% 72 937-15% 64 369-19% 50 703-8% 1 550-24% -11 229+99%
2015 q4 79 469-24% 54 827-17% 42 656-29% 14<-100% 2 521+16% -10 317+150%
2015 q3 102 883+10% 71 529+17% 62 970+18% 44 009-8% 2 343>+200% -7 830>+200%
2015 q2 102 330+20% 66 729+23% 61 848+31% 47 102+19% 2 338+167% -5 692+105%
2015 q1 116 169+84% 85 857+128% 79 353+149% 55 088>+200% 2 033>+200% -5 634+108%
2014 q4 104 055+55% 65 799+76% 60 324+119% -64 463<-100% 2 166+182% -4 123+44%
2014 q3 93 116+25% 61 000+46% 53 384+53% 47 597-12% 623+2% -2 487-13%
2014 q2 85 387+34% 54 285+53% 47 361+67% 39 670>+200% 876+19% -2 772-9%
2014 q1 63 289-6% 37 684-5% 31 820-3% 11 664-21% 634-46% -2 712+32%
2013 q4 67 129-15% 37 425-27% 27 580-14% 3 435<-100% 768-22% -2 855+55%
2013 q3 74 475+10% 41 823+17% 34 843-12% 54 141+74% 613-77% -2 865+55%
2013 q2 63 675-12% 35 566-19% 28 408-22% 5 951-78% 737-74% -3 049+101%
2013 q1 67 306-3% 39 852-14% 32 748-11% 14 778-36% 1 167-55% -2 049+48%
2012 q4 79 281-31% 51 292-8% 32 075-36% -10 708<-100% 984+22% -1 845+113%
2012 q3 67 532-15% 35 721-36% 39 390-23% 31 057-9% 2 685>+200% -1 845>+200%
2012 q2 72 075 43 755 36 409 26 722 2 788 -1 516
2012 q1 69 667 46 089 36 719 23 066 2 620 -1 382
2011 q4 ( 750 , 751 , 4154 , 4155 , 4156 ) 114 335+7% 55 939-6% 50 382-8% 26 378-8% 807-69% -865-37%
2011 q3 79 692 55 526 51 335 34 166 495 -600
2010 q4 107 116 59 695 54 847 28 577 2 628 -1 365


Balance


Implied interest rate for 2026 q1:
= (PercentLoss - PercentProfit) * (365 / periodLength) / (NetDebt - MinorityInterest)
= (30 876 - 3 928) * 4 / (1 109 487 - 0)

Q Total equity Total assets Net debt
 
2026 q1 690 552+24% 2 271 728+13% 1 109 487+1%
2025 q4 668 375+35% 2 173 438+4% 1 043 523-14%
2025 q3 549 262+34% 2 082 906+7% 1 107 819-8%
2025 q2 585 291+32% 2 150 371+10% 1 081 854-7%
2025 q1 557 017+39% 2 013 5430% 1 102 385-11%
2024 q4 496 038+33% 2 085 123+11% 1 208 072+17%
2024 q3 410 933+38% 1 949 207+13% 1 205 716+10%
2024 q2 441 900+30% 1 947 659+10% 1 162 057+4%
2024 q1 401 331+102% 2 021 906+29% 1 240 086+14%
2023 q4 372 978+62% 1 879 472+22% 1 029 255+2%
2023 q3 298 164-16% 1 731 364+8% 1 098 914+23%
2023 q2 341 053-10% 1 763 921+21% 1 121 851+46%
2023 q1 198 415-19% 1 563 714-11% 1 084 603+11%
2022 q4 229 9370% 1 541 743-4% 1 010 005+66%
2022 q3 356 390+55% 1 596 4490% 890 304+46%
2022 q2 380 257+65% 1 452 736-9% 767 463+26%
2022 q1 244 218+6% 1 753 961+9% 980 052+61%
2021 q4 230 345 1 607 859 607 875+9%
2021 q3 230 345 1 602 536 607 875-3%
2021 q2 230 345 1 602 535 607 875+10%
2021 q1 230 343 1 602 533 607 875-4%
2020 q4     556 028+20%
2020 q3     625 968+26%
2020 q2     554 418+30%
2020 q1     631 006+30%
2019 q4     465 076-22%
2019 q3     495 197-17%
2019 q2     426 012-28%
2019 q1     487 040-18%
2018 q4     594 649
2018 q3     594 649
2018 q2     594 649+59%
2018 q1     594 649+66%
2017 q2 204 508-22% 933 4200% 373 535+18%
2017 q1 262 342+2% 863 341-9% 358 793+16%
2016 q4 224 869+8% 958 998-3% 316 793-3%
2016 q3 298 997+16% 923 907+7% 332 867+16%
2016 q2 263 5160% 937 506+30% 316 771+19%
2016 q1 257 456-20% 949 805+17% 309 203+67%
2015 q4 208 818-22% 985 311+41% 327 588+42%
2015 q3 258 846-44% 863 491+15% 287 850+122%
2015 q2 263 113-36% 720 782+3% 266 575+57%
2015 q1 322 042-22% 809 060+18% 184 786+8%
2014 q4 266 954-33% 700 269+3% 230 583+33%
2014 q3 459 841+7% 748 576+6% 129 474-24%
2014 q2 412 244+9% 697 751+2% 170 091-30%
2014 q1 411 895-22% 686 666-13% 170 711+4%
2013 q4 400 231-22% 678 532-3% 174 024+74%
2013 q3 431 722-34% 704 641-16% 169 983+41%
2013 q2 377 560 685 855 241 485
2013 q1 527 722 784 777 163 639
2012 q4 512 944-23% 703 027-32% 99 880-58%
2012 q3 649 797 836 961 120 718
2012 q2      
2012 q1      
2011 q4 ( 750 , 751 , 4154 , 4155 , 4156 ) 664 017 1 038 699 239 085<-100%
2011 q3      
2010 q4     -61 090
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