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General information

Leading steel producer integrated with 100% self-sufficiency in iron ore, 60% in scrap, 0% in coal. Operates plants both in Russia and US (lately unprofitable due to tariffs) and generally has quite high export share in revenue (which is on one hand positive - higher share of USD-denominated revenue, on the other hand can drop more dramatically in downturns)
  • Current market environment: positive. Prices of production are 0.2% higher compared to the last 12 months (LTM)
  • Prices of production are at 40.3% percentile over the past 5 years, adjusted for inflation
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 18.7%
  • Free cash flow yield 27.5% (LTM), projected 33.3%
  • Share of USD-denominated sales in revenue of the company (estimate) ≈ 0.0%
  • Share price is 79.9% higher than minimum and 46.9% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is undervalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (2.6x vs
    )
  • The company is undervalued by EV / projected EBITDA multiple compared to target level (
    vs
    )
  • Taking into account the impact of the key rate 21% on the change in financial parameters: EBITDA adjustment is 14 553 mln rub as NetDebt * (current key rate - normalized 7%) / 2, expected EBITDA adjusted for key rate increases is 359 848 mln rub, expected mult is 1.7x, target mult is 4.1x, potential is +107.4%

Key Financials (Download financials)

Ticker: NLMK
Share price, RUB:  (+13.5%)136.18
year average price 176.83  


year start price 178.00 2023-12-23

max close price 256.30 2024-05-23

min close price 114.90 2024-12-17

current price 136.18 2024-12-21
Common stocks: 5 993 230 000

Dividend Yield:  18.7%
FCF Yield LTM / expected: 27.5% / 33.3%
EV / LTM EBITDA: 2.6x
EV / EBITDA annualized: 2.1x
Production prices change from LTM: 0.2%
EV / projected EBITDA:
Target EV / EBITDA (hist percentile):
Express share price potential:
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap (m RUB): 816 158
Net Debt (m RUB): -79 119
EV (Enterprise Value): 737 039
EBITDA LTM (m RUB): 286 412
Net Income LTM (m RUB): 179 343
EV / LTM EBITDA: 2.6x
Average daily trading volume for the week, RUB mln: 1383
P / E 4.1x
P / B 1.0x

Revenue and EBITDA

Quarterly values (m RUB)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

FCF (m RUB), before FX effects elimination

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents (m RUB)

Share price and dividends (Download history)

Share price

Payment RUB per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 50% percentile

Potential dynamics

Daily trade volumes

Millions of RUB

P/B and P/E multipliers

P / B

P / E

More information for subscribed users:
detailed calculation of
Potential and Created Value,
commodities affecting the company