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General information
NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software. The Company offers products that provides interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.
  • Good financial results growth rate 53.8% (average between last period year over year growth for revenue and EBITDA), there is acceleration compared to average historical growth rates (31.0%)
  • Dividend yield for the last twelve months 0.1%
  • Free cash flow yield -0.8% (LTM)
  • Share price is 297.5% higher than minimum and 12.0% lower than maximum for the last 3 years
  • The company is overvalued by EV / LTM EBITDA multiple compared to target level (69.9x vs 52.1x)
  • Fundamental value created in LTM (estimate) 19.9%
Key Financials
Ticker: NVDA
Share price, USD: 505.08
Common stocks: 612 000 000
Dividend Yield:  0.1%
FCF Yield LTM: -0.8%
EV / LTM EBITDA: 69.9x
Last revenue growth (y/y):  49.9%
Last growth of EBITDA (y/y):  57.7%
Historical revenue growth:  20.3%
Historical growth of EBITDA:  41.7%
Target EV / EBITDA (hist 75% percentile): 52.1x
Express share price potential: -12.0%
Fundamental value created in LTM: 19.9%
EV / LTM EBITDA mutiple calculation
Market Cap ($m): 309 109
Net Debt ($m): -3 286
EV (Enterprise Value): 305 823
EBITDA LTM ($m): 4 378
EV / LTM EBITDA: 69.9x

Revenue and EBITDA

Quarterly values ($m)

Change (y/y)

Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow ($m)

Net Debt / Cash and Equivalents ($m)

Share price and dividends

Share price

Payment USD per share

Multiple and potential

EV / LTM EBITDA and 75% percentile

Potential dynamics

Value Creation

Fundamental Value Creation is calculated as ratio of value created in the last period to current market cap of the company.

The fundamental value can be created in two ways:
• cash generation in form of dividend payments or debt reduction or share buybacks
• growth of the company enterprise value through improving financial results

The growth of enterprise value in the last period is estimated as product of:
• annualized increase of EBITDA in the last reporting period year over year
• relevant EV/EBITDA multiple (average between actual EV/EBITDA for the company and average general level of 10.0x is applied)

Parameter
#
Formula
Value
    
    
            EBITDA (pre LTM Q)
(1)
691
            EBITDA (last Q)
(2)
1 090
            EBITDA LTM
(3)
4 378
    
    
        EBITDA LTM / last Q
(4)
(3) / (2)
4.017
    Gain of EBITDA (mln $)
(5)
( (2)-(1) ) * (4)
1 603
    
    
            EV
(6)
305 921
        Mult
(7)
(6) / (3)
69.9x
        Mult common
(8)
const
10.0x
    Mult avg
(9)
avgerage
39.9x
    
    
    Equity+
(10)
(5) * (9)
64 005
    FCF LTM
(11)
-2 400
    
    
Value+
(12)
(10) + (11)
61 605
Cap
(13)
309 109
    
    
Fundamental value creation
(14)
(12) / (13)
19.9%

Potential

EBITDA LTM       4 378
 
EBITDA E       5 182
Mult aim       52.1x
 
EV E       269 716
NetDebt corr       -2 392
 
Cap E       272 109
Cap       309 109
Growth potential            -12.0%