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Quarterly Activities Report

Published: 2023-10-18 09:15:34 ET
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                                                 BHP Group Limited
                                                 BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077
                                                 Registered in Australia
                                                 Registered Office: Level 18, 171 Collins
                                                 Street Melbourne VIC 3000
                                                 Share code: BHG
                                                 ISIN: AU000000BHP4
                                                                                                                                          18 October 2023



Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2023
We remain on track to deliver full year production and unit cost guidance at all assets.
First quarter operational performance was highlighted by a 11% uplift in copper production from the previous year. After completing a
typically busy quarter of planned maintenance particularly at our Australian assets, we are on track to achieve full year production and unit
cost guidance. BMA in particular was impacted by planned maintenance, an extended longwall move and low opening inventory following
drawdowns in the prior year.

Jansen Stage 1 in Canada is approximately one-third complete after a productive summer. In South Australia, we saw strong operational
performance in the first full quarter of production for the new province, as we bring our copper assets together and progress further
exploration drilling.

                                                                                                                                            Mike Henry
                                                                                                                             BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
Operational performance                                                         Social value
On track to deliver production guidance                                         Operational decarbonisation
FY24 production guidance remains unchanged. Copper                              BMA entered into a new renewable power purchase agreement
production increased 11%, including record quarterly production                 (PPA) which is expected to provide half the forecasted electricity
at Spence. BMA production was lower due to maintenance, an                      demand of BMA’s operations over five years from January 2026;
extended longwall move and low inventory. We also executed                      and we signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with
major planned maintenance across our Australian business.                       Toyota to reduce GHG emissions from light vehicles in Australia.


Large, long-life, low-cost assets                                               Growth
3 Bt of iron ore shipped to China                                               Progress in copper and potash provinces
In September, BHP recognised the shipment of 3 Bt of high-                      We saw strong underlying operational performance in the first full
quality iron ore to China. Since its initial investment over 30 years           quarter of production from the newly-integrated Copper South
ago to the end of FY23, WAIO has delivered 15% average annual                   Australia, while our Jansen Stage 1 project remains on budget and
returns and, over the past decade, has increased production by                  on track to deliver first production by the end of CY26 (32%
>50% and lowered costs by >30%.                                                 complete).

                                                                                             FY24 YTD v      Q1 FY24 v        Current FY24
    Production                                                                  Q1 FY24       FY23 YTD        Q4 FY23             guidance
    Copper (kt)                                                                   457.0             11%           (4%)         1,720 – 1,910
     Escondida (kt)                                                                273.3             8%               (7%)     1,080 – 1,180     Unchanged
     Pampa Norte (kt)                                                               78.3            11%               14%         210 – 250i     Unchanged
     Copper South Australia (kt)ii                                                   71.7          44%                (6%)        310 – 340      Unchanged
     Antamina (kt)                                                                  32.5           (12%)          (11%)            120 – 140     Unchanged
     Carajás (kt)ii                                                                   1.2              -          (25%)                    -               -
    Iron ore (Mt)                                                                   63.2           (3%)               (3%)      254 – 264.5
     WAIO (Mt)                                                                      62.0           (3%)               (3%)        250 – 260      Unchanged
     WAIO (100% basis) (Mt)                                                         69.4           (4%)               (4%)        282 – 294      Unchanged
     Samarco (Mt)                                                                     1.2            7%                1%            4 – 4.5     Unchanged
    Metallurgical coal – BMA (Mt)                                                    5.6          (16%)          (34%)               28 – 31
     BMA (100% basis) (Mt)                                                           11.2          (16%)         (34%)               56 – 62     Unchanged
    Energy coal – NSWEC (Mt)                                                         3.6           38%           (24%)               13 – 15    Unchanged
    Nickel – Nickel West (kt)                                                       20.2           (2%)               (8%)           77 – 87    Unchanged

i      Production guidance for FY24 is for Spence only and excludes Cerro Colorado which is now expected to produce ~11 kt, up from previous guidance of
       ~9 kt, as it transitions to closure by 31 December 2023.
ii     Q4 FY23 production volumes for the operations acquired from OZL are for the period of 1 May to 30 June 2023.
                                                                BHP | Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2023



Segment and asset performance | FY24 YTD v FY23 YTD
Copper
Production                  Total copper production increased by 11% to 457 kt. Guidance for FY24 remains
                            unchanged at between 1,720 and 1,910 kt.
457.0 kt 11%
Q1 FY23 410.1 kt            Escondida 273 kt 8% (100% basis)

FY24e 1,720 – 1,910 kt      Increased production was primarily due to higher concentrator feed grade of 0.85%,
                            compared to 0.83% in the September 2022 quarter. Concentrator feed grade is expected
                            to be between 0.85% and 0.90% during FY24. Guidance for FY24 remains unchanged at
Average realised price1,2
                            between 1,080 and 1,180 kt, with production expected to be weighted towards the second
US$3.63/lb 4%              half of the year.

H2 FY23 US$3.80/lb          Escondida successfully completed negotiations for a new collective agreement with the
                            Union N°2 of Supervisors, effective for 36 months from 1 October 2023.

                            Pampa Norte 78 kt 11%
                            Production at Spence increased 19% to a quarterly record of 69 kt, largely as a result of
                            improved concentrator performance and recoveries. The concentrator plant
                            modifications, which commenced in August 2022, are now expected to be completed in
                            FY24. Guidance for Spence remains unchanged at between 210 and 250 kt for FY24,
                            subject to the remediation of the previously identified anomalies in the Spence Tailings
                            Storage Facility.

                            Production at Cerro Colorado was 26% lower at 9 kt as it transitions towards closure by
                            the end of December 2023. Production for H1 FY24 is now expected to be ~11 kt, up from a
                            previous estimate of ~9 kt.

                            Copper South Australia 72 kt 44%

                            Production increased due to the additional 23 kt from Prominent Hill and Carrapateena.
                            Pleasingly, integration of the Olympic Dam, Prominent Hill and Carrapateena assets has
                            gone well, with strong operational performance and continued focus on safe and reliable
                            production, in particular at Olympic Dam (record material mined since FY15) and
                            Carrapateena (record development metres achieved in September). Planned maintenance
                            was completed across the province. In addition, we upgraded a conveyor at
                            Carrapateena, ahead of the planned commissioning of Crusher 2 in Q3 FY24.
                            Olympic Dam also delivered record gold production (for the second time in three
                            quarters) and gold sales in the quarter.

                            Production guidance remains unchanged at between 310 and 340 kt for FY24.

                            Exploration drilling continued beneath the Olympic Dam ore body with eight active drill
                            rigs and at Oak Dam with 10 operating drill rigs.

                            Other copper
                            Antamina copper production decreased by 12% to 33 kt reflecting planned lower copper
                            feed grades. Zinc production was 9% higher at 36 kt, reflecting higher grades. Copper
                            guidance of 120 to 140 kt and zinc guidance of between 85 and 105 kt remains unchanged
                            for FY24.

                            Carajás produced 1.2 kt of copper and 0.8 troy koz of gold. Operations were suspended in
                            August due to a geotechnical event, and are expected to recommence in Q2 FY24.




                                                            2
                                                                BHP | Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2023


Iron ore
Production                  Total iron ore production decreased by 3% to 63 Mt. Guidance for FY24 remains
                            unchanged at between 254 and 264.5 Mt.
63.2 Mt 3%
Q1 FY23 65.1 Mt             WAIO 62 Mt 3% | 69 Mt (100% basis)

FY24e 254 – 264.5 Mt        Production was lower due to tie-in activity for the Rail Technology Programme (RTP1), the
                            ongoing ramp up and maintenance at the Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and Mining
                            Area C), and the timing of track renewal maintenance.
Average realised price1
                            South Flank remains on track to ramp up to full production capacity of 80 Mtpa (100%
US$98.04/wmt 2%            basis) by the end of FY24. The planned tie-in of the Port Debottlenecking Project (PDP1)
H2 FY23 US$99.88/wmt        continues to progress and remains on track to be completed in CY24.

                            Guidance for FY24 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282 and 294 Mt on a
                            100% basis). We are building inventory at the mines while we complete planned
                            maintenance and with South Flank continuing to ramp up, volumes are expected to be
                            weighted to the second half.

                            Samarco 1.2 Mt 7% | 2.5 Mt (100% basis)
                            Production increased as a result of higher concentrator throughput. Guidance for FY24
                            remains unchanged at between 4 and 4.5 Mt.


Coal
Metallurgical coal
Production                  BMA 5.6 Mt 16% | 11.2 Mt (100% basis)

5.6 Mt 16%                 Lower production was due to planned wash plant maintenance at Goonyella, mining in
                            higher strip ratio areas, an extended longwall move at Broadmeadow, and a stoppage at
Q1 FY23 6.7 Mt
                            Peak Downs. This was partially offset by strong underlying truck productivity and favourable
FY24e 28 – 31 Mt            weather conditions. BMA also opened the period with low inventory levels compared with
                            an inventory drawdown in the prior year due to wet weather.
                       1
Average realised price      Guidance for FY24 remains unchanged at between 28 and 31 Mt (56 and 62 Mt on a 100%
                            basis). Planned wash plant maintenance at Peak Downs and Caval Ridge and the ramp up of
US$237.07/t 13%
                            Broadmeadow from the longwall move will continue into Q2. Once completed, we expect
H2 FY23 US$273.08/t         underlying operating performance to deliver increased production in the second half.

                            In February 2023, we announced our intention to pursue options to divest the Daunia and
                            Blackwater mines together with our joint venture partner Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd.
                            BHP confirms that Whitehaven Coal has been selected as the preferred bidder in the
                            divestment process.

Energy coal
Production                  NSWEC 3.6 Mt 38%

3.6 Mt 38%                 Production increased due to favourable weather conditions and eased labour constraints,
                            which enabled record annualised truck hours for the quarter. This was partially offset by
Q1 FY23 2.6 Mt
                            planned wash plant maintenance completed in August.
FY24e 13 – 15 Mt
                            Guidance for FY24 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt.

                            On 6 September 2023, the NSW Government announced a 2.6% point increase in coal
Average realised price1,3
                            royalties (from 8.2% to 10.8% for open cut mines), which will become effective from 1 July
US$125.66/t 20%            2024, coinciding with the end of the legislated period for the domestic reservation policy.

H2 FY23 US$157.21/t         We have submitted a consent modification to mine beyond FY26 to closure in FY30, and
                            will take into consideration the increase to NSW royalties in the plans for closure.


                                                            3
                                                                                    BHP | Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2023


Group & Unallocated
Nickel
Production                              Nickel West 20.2 kt 2%

20.2 kt 2%                             Production decreased marginally in line with higher stripping activity at Mt Keith mining
                                        operations.
Q1 FY23 20.7 kt

FY24e 77 – 87 kt
                                        Guidance remains unchanged at between 77 and 87 kt for FY24. The refinery shutdown
                                        planned for October 2023 will now largely be completed in February 2024, and as a
                                        result production is expected to be relatively flat across the remainder of the year.
                             1
Average realised price

US$20,354/t 14%
H2 FY23 US$23,652/t



Quarterly performance | Q1 FY24 v Q4 FY23

Copper                                                                          Iron ore
457.0 kt 4%                Strong underlying operational                       63.2 Mt 3%                Lower production at WAIO as a result of
                            performance, including record quarterly                                        planned equipment maintenance and
Q4 FY23 476.2 kt           production at Spence, was offset by                 Q4 FY23 65.3 Mt            the ongoing ramp-up of the Central
                            planned maintenance across Copper                                              Pilbara hub, partially offset by favourable
                            South Australia and lower concentrator                                         weather following Tropical Cyclone Ilsa
                            and stacking grades at Escondida.                                              in the prior quarter.


Metallurgical coal                                                              Energy coal
5.6 Mt 34%                 The low opening inventory position                  3.6 Mt 24%                Lower volumes at NSWEC reflected
                            following drawdowns in Q4 FY23, along                                          planned wash plant maintenance, and a
Q4 FY23 8.5 Mt              with planned wash plant maintenance at              Q4 FY23 4.8 Mt             focus on additional stripping volumes
                            Blackwater and Goonyella, a higher strip                                       which resulted in higher strip ratios.
                            ratio, a longer than planned longwall
                            move at Broadmeadow and an
                            unexpected stoppage at Peak Downs
                            resulted in lower volumes at BMA.


Nickel
20.2 kt 8%                 Lower volumes in line with higher
                            stripping activity at Mt Keith in the
Q4 FY23 22.0 kt             quarter.




              Further information in Appendix 1

              Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2


The following footnotes apply to this Operational Review:
1   Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude sales from equity accounted investments, third party product and internal sales, and represent
    the weighted average of various sales terms (for example: FOB, CIF and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional pricing and
    finalisation adjustments.
2   Does not include sales from assets acquired through the purchase of OZL.
3   Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from metallurgical coal mines.




                                                                               4
                                                                                       BHP | Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2023



Appendix 1
Average realised prices1
                                                                                                                                                        Q1 FY24 v
                                                                                                               Q1 FY24            H2 FY23                H2 FY23
    Copper (US$/lb)2                                                                                               3.63               3.80                   (4%)
    Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)                                                                                      98.04               99.88                   (2%)
    Metallurgical coal (US$/t)                                                                                  237.07              273.08                   (13%)

          Hard coking coal (US$/t)3                                                                             242.52              276.22                   (12%)
          Weak coking coal (US$/t)3                                                                             190.74             250.38                   (24%)

    Thermal coal (US$/t)4                                                                                        125.66              157.21                 (20%)
    Nickel metal (US$/t)                                                                                        20,354              23,652                   (14%)
1      Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude sales from equity accounted investments, third party product and internal sales, and represent
       the weighted average of various sales terms (for example: FOB, CIF and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional pricing and
       finalisation adjustments.
2      Does not include sales from assets acquired through the purchase of OZL.
3      Hard coking coal (HCC) refers generally to those metallurgical coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of 35 and above, which includes coals
       across the spectrum from Premium Coking to Semi Hard Coking coals, while weak coking coal (WCC) refers generally to those metallurgical coals with a
       CSR below 35.
4      Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from metallurgical coal mines.



Current year unit cost guidance
                                                                                                                                   Current
                                                                                                                          FY24 guidance1

Escondida unit cost (US$/lb)2                                                                                                   1.40 – 1.70            Unchanged
Spence unit cost (US$/lb)                                                                                                      2.00 – 2.30             Unchanged
WAIO unit cost (US$/t)                                                                                                        17.40 – 18.90            Unchanged

BMA unit cost (US$/t)                                                                                                             95 – 105             Unchanged
1      FY24 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of AUD/USD 0.67 and USD/CLP 810.
2      Escondida unit costs for FY24 onwards exclude revenue-based government royalties.



Medium term guidance
                                                                                                                               Production                Unit cost
                                                                                                                                 guidance               guidance1

Escondida2                                                                                                                1,200 – 1,300 kt     US$1.30 – $1.60/lb3
Spence4                                                                                                                            ~250 kt
WAIO (100% basis)                                                                                                                 >305 Mt